Sport Picks
St. Gallen vs Luzern - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Switzerland
Super League Kybunpark, St. Gallen 
Match Events
14'
14'
Bertone L.
22'
22'
Freimann B. H.
29'
29'
Daschner L.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between St. Gallen and Luzern finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Gallen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- St. Gallen carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives St. Gallen a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
St. Gallen Clean Sheet 11%
Luzern Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Gallen | Luzern |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Super League
St. Gallen vs Luzern
2:2
Apr 12, 2026 Super League
Luzern vs St. Gallen
2:2
Feb 1, 2026 Super League
Luzern vs St. Gallen
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Super League
St. Gallen vs Luzern
0:1
Apr 3, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs St. Gallen
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Gallen Compare
Top Goalscorer Daschner L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Luzern Compare
Top Goalscorer Mikolajewski D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Di Giusto M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Gallen 83 / 100
Luzern 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Gallen Luzern
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Gallen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St. Gallen scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Luzern let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
St. Gallen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
St. Gallen VS Luzern
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Gallen
(Home) 31 Oct
St. Gallen
2 : 1 Servette
24 Oct
Young Boys
2 : 0 St. Gallen
16 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 2 St. Gallen
11 Oct
St. Gallen
1 : 0 Lausanne
03 Oct
Bruhl SG
3 : 3 St. Gallen
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
St. Gallen
2 : 1 Servette
11 Oct
St. Gallen
1 : 0 Lausanne
12 Sept
St. Gallen
0 : 3 Sion
30 Aug
St. Gallen
3 : 4 Thun
27 Aug
St. Gallen
2 : 3 Nordsjaelland
Page 1 of 3
Luzern
(Away) 31 Oct
Luzern
1 : 1 Sion
24 Oct
Zurich
2 : 1 Luzern
17 Oct
Winterthur
0 : 1 Luzern
10 Oct
Lugano
4 : 0 Luzern
03 Oct
Freiburg
4 : 2 Luzern
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Zurich
2 : 1 Luzern
17 Oct
Winterthur
0 : 1 Luzern
10 Oct
Lugano
4 : 0 Luzern
03 Oct
Freiburg
4 : 2 Luzern
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3 Luzern
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 34:9 | 31 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 35:18 | 25 |
| 3 | Sion | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25:18 | 23 |
| 4 | St. Gallen | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 19:22 | 19 |
| 5 | Zurich | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:23 | 17 |
| 6 | Servette | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Basel | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:20 | 14 |
| 8 | Luzern | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 19:25 | 13 |
| 9 | Vaduz | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 24:25 | 10 |
| 10 | Thun | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 19:30 | 10 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:28 | 10 |
| 12 | Lausanne | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:17 | 6 |
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)
