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St. Gallen vs Luzern

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Kybunpark, St. Gallen
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Gallen host Luzern in the Super League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. St. Gallen have averaged 2 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Luzern's 1.75 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Luzern slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.75, favoring St. Gallen. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
St. Gallen
33%
Draws
40%
Luzern
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Luzern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Gallen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Luzern a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
St. Gallen Clean Sheet 12%
Luzern Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Gallen Luzern
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Super League
Luzern vs St. Gallen
2:2
Feb 1, 2026 Super League
Luzern vs St. Gallen
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Super League
St. Gallen vs Luzern
0:1
Apr 3, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs St. Gallen
1:1
Feb 2, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs St. Gallen
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Gallen 27 / 100
Luzern 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Gallen Luzern

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Gallen scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Luzern let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

St. Gallen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Gallen VS Luzern
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Gallen

(Home)
26 Jul
St. Gallen
2 : 1
Zurich
23 Jul
St. Gallen
2 : 1
Benfica
17 Jul
St. Gallen
0 : 3
Norwich
11 Jul
Lyon
6 : 3
St. Gallen
01 Jul
Winterthur
0 : 1
St. Gallen
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Luzern

(Away)
25 Jul
Luzern
1 : 3
Thun
18 Jul
Luzern
1 : 2
St. Truiden
10 Jul
Wil
0 : 2
Luzern
04 Jul
Luzern
3 : 2
Winterthur
27 Jun
Luzern
3 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Boys11004:23
2Thun11003:13
3Lugano11002:13
4St. Gallen11002:13
5Basel11001:03
6Lausanne10101:11
7Grasshoppers10101:11
8Zurich10011:20
9Vaduz10011:20
10Servette10010:10
11Sion10012:40
12Luzern10011:30
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)