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St. Gallen vs Luzern

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Kybunpark, St. Gallen
St. Gallen Logo

St. Gallen

2 - 2
FT
Luzern Logo

Luzern

Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Bertone L.
22'
Freimann B. H.
29'
Daschner L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between St. Gallen and Luzern finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
St. Gallen
20%
Draws
58%
Luzern
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Luzern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Luzern's 2.07 goals per match outpaces what St. Gallen have produced (1.83).
  • Model gives Luzern a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
St. Gallen Clean Sheet 12%
Luzern Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Gallen Luzern
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.83 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Super League
St. Gallen vs Luzern
2:2
Apr 12, 2026 Super League
Luzern vs St. Gallen
2:2
Feb 1, 2026 Super League
Luzern vs St. Gallen
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Super League
St. Gallen vs Luzern
0:1
Apr 3, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs St. Gallen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Gallen Compare

Top Goalscorer Daschner L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Luzern Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikolajewski D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Di Giusto M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Gallen 19 / 100
Luzern 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Gallen Luzern

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzern Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Gallen scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Luzern let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

St. Gallen went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Gallen VS Luzern
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Gallen

(Home)
16 Sept
Lugano
4 : 1
St. Gallen
12 Sept
St. Gallen
0 : 3
Sion
06 Sept
Servette
0 : 2
St. Gallen
02 Sept
Grasshoppers
2 : 0
St. Gallen
30 Aug
St. Gallen
3 : 4
Thun
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Luzern

(Away)
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3
Luzern
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
29 Aug
Servette
1 : 1
Luzern
22 Aug
Luzern
1 : 0
Lausanne
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 8 7 1 0 23:7 22
2 Sion 8 6 0 2 22:13 18
3 Young Boys 8 4 4 0 28:16 16
4 Basel 8 4 1 3 16:14 13
5 Servette 8 3 1 4 9:10 10
6 St. Gallen 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
7 Zurich 8 3 1 4 13:19 10
8 Luzern 8 2 3 3 12:17 9
9 Grasshoppers 8 2 2 4 12:19 8
10 Thun 8 2 1 5 13:22 7
11 Vaduz 8 2 0 6 17:19 6
12 Lausanne 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)