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St. Gallen W vs Basel W

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women 2025/2026 Espenmoos
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Gallen W play Basel W in the Super League Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, St. Gallen W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Basel W averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, St. Gallen W won 2, Basel W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for St. Gallen W and 1.13 for Basel W. This points to a Basel W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
St. Gallen W
22%
Draws
43%
Basel W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Basel W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Gallen W picked up more points recently compared to Basel W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
St. Gallen W Clean Sheet 21%
Basel W Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Gallen W Basel W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Super League Women
Basel W vs St. Gallen W
0:3
Apr 25, 2026 Super League Women
St. Gallen W vs Basel W
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 Super League Women
Basel W vs St. Gallen W
3:0
Dec 13, 2025 Swiss Cup Women
St. Gallen W vs Basel W
1:3
Oct 4, 2025 Super League Women
St. Gallen W vs Basel W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Gallen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aeberhard Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Basel W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Gallen W 36 / 100
Basel W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Gallen W Basel W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Basel W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St. Gallen W attacking → ← attacking Basel W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Gallen W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Basel W let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

St. Gallen W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Basel W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 45
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88