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St. Gallen W vs Basel W Prediction & H2H Stats

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women 2025/2026 Espenmoos, St. Gallen
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Sub
Rankic U. In: Tauriello M.
Out: Rankic U.
58'
Sub
Dominguez S. In: Seghir S.
Out: Dominguez S.
63' Event
Aeberhard Y.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with St. Gallen W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
St. Gallen W
35%
Draws
56%
Basel W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Basel W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Basel W come out ahead of St. Gallen W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Basel W a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Basel W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Basel W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
St. Gallen W Clean Sheet 10%
Basel W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Gallen W Basel W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.31 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Super League Women
Basel W vs St. Gallen W
1:0
May 1, 2026 Super League Women
Basel W vs St. Gallen W
0:3
Apr 25, 2026 Super League Women
St. Gallen W vs Basel W
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 Super League Women
Basel W vs St. Gallen W
3:0
Dec 13, 2025 Swiss Cup Women
St. Gallen W vs Basel W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Gallen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aeberhard Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Basel W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Gallen W 10 / 100
Basel W 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Gallen W Basel W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Gallen W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Basel W let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: St. Gallen W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Gallen W VS Basel W
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Gallen W

(Home)
19 Sept
St. Gallen W
1 : 4
Grasshopper W
13 Sept
Young Boys W
4 : 1
St. Gallen W
09 Sept
St. Gallen W
2 : 2
Aarau W
04 Sept
Basel W
1 : 0
St. Gallen W
28 Aug
Luzern W
3 : 1
St. Gallen W
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Basel W

(Away)
19 Sept
Basel W
2 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona W
13 Sept
Zurich W
1 : 1
Basel W
09 Sept
Basel W
1 : 1
Grasshopper W
04 Sept
Basel W
1 : 0
St. Gallen W
29 Aug
Servette W
2 : 1
Basel W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Servette W 6
Aarau W 1
Grasshopper W 0
Zurich W 2
Young Boys W 5
Rapperswil-Jona W 1
Basel W 0
St. Gallen W 4
Semi-finals
Servette W 6
Zurich W 0
Young Boys W 4
St. Gallen W 1
Final
Servette W 4
Young Boys W 1