Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St George Saints vs NWS Spirit

Australia Australia

NPL NSW St George Stadium, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Yoshida S.
37' Event
Petratos K.
81' Event
Tserpes S.

AI Match Summary

NWS Spirit in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored NWS Spirit.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
St George Saints
17%
Draws
70%
NWS Spirit
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: NWS Spirit

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to NWS Spirit lately — more wins on the board than St George Saints.
  • NWS Spirit are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors NWS Spirit here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 14%
NWS Spirit Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St George Saints NWS Spirit
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs St George Saints
3:1
Mar 28, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs NWS Spirit
0:3
Aug 19, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs NWS Spirit
0:3
Apr 26, 2025 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs St George Saints
2:2
Jul 13, 2024 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs NWS Spirit
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St George Saints Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

NWS Spirit Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoshida S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petratos K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St George Saints 15 / 100
NWS Spirit 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St George Saints NWS Spirit

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NWS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: NWS Spirit conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

St George Saints's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

St George Saints went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St George Saints VS NWS Spirit
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St George Saints

(Home)
25 Jul
St George Saints
0 : 0
Sydney FC U23
18 Jul
St George Saints
1 : 6
Rockdale Ilinden
11 Jul
NWS Spirit
3 : 1
St George Saints
05 Jul
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0
St George Saints
27 Jun
St George Saints
1 : 2
Sydney Olympic
Page 1 of 6

NWS Spirit

(Away)
25 Jul
NWS Spirit
0 : 4
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
18 Jul
UNSW
3 : 1
NWS Spirit
11 Jul
NWS Spirit
3 : 1
St George Saints
05 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1
NWS Spirit
27 Jun
NWS Spirit
2 : 0
Wollongong
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APIA Leichhardt25183456:3157
2Marconi Stallions25174446:1755
3Sydney Utd25163635:1851
4Sutherland Sharks251231040:3239
5Rockdale Ilinden251231043:3639
6Sydney FC U2325106932:3436
7Manly Utd2597929:2934
8Western Sydney Wanderers U2125951149:3932
9Wollongong25951128:3432
10SD Raiders25951135:4232
11UNSW25941236:4031
12NWS Spirit25941228:3431
13Blacktown City25771135:3928
14St. George City25771123:4028
15St George Saints25621723:4520
16Sydney Olympic25541626:5419
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)