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St. George Willawong vs Bayside United

Australia Australia

Brisbane Premier League
Sun, Jun 13, 2021
0 - 3
07:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Ball S.
48' Event
Gallo K.
54' Event
Wemyss A.

AI Match Summary

St. George Willawong host Bayside United in the Brisbane Premier League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Bayside United have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while St. George Willawong have conceded 1.75 and scored 0.5. Head-to-head, St. George Willawong have won 1 to Bayside United's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 17, 2021, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.85 - 1.38) back Bayside United to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
St. George Willawong
17%
Draws
70%
Bayside United
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Bayside United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bayside United lately — more wins on the board than St. George Willawong.
  • Bayside United are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Brisbane Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 17%
Bayside United Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George Willawong Bayside United
Matches Played 49 33
Wins 19 20
Draws 5 4
Losses 25 9
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Bayside United vs St. George Willawong
3:0
Jun 13, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Bayside United
0:3
Oct 4, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Bayside United
1:0
Apr 25, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
Bayside United vs St. George Willawong
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. George Willawong Compare

Top Goalscorer Ball S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bond O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Bayside United Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallo K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wemyss A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George Willawong 15 / 100
Bayside United 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George Willawong Bayside United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. George Willawong found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (49 games).

Bayside United has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

St. George Willawong went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. George Willawong VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albany Creek221930102:1860
2Bayside United22142648:2544
3The Lakes FC22133660:4542
4St. George Willawong22122856:3938
5Gravatt22103938:4133
6Acacia Ridge22103942:4733
7Toowong City2295847:4632
8Univ. of Queensland22731227:4624
9Centenary Stormers22651130:4923
10The Gap22451319:4417
11Western Spirit FC22441436:7016
12Brisbane Knights22421629:6414