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St. George Willawong vs Redlands

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Willawong, Willawong
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Hugh J.
78' Event
Balarezo J.
90' Event
Sheriff U.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between St. George Willawong and Redlands finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Redlands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
St. George Willawong
30%
Draws
47%
Redlands
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Redlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Redlands come out ahead of St. George Willawong on wins alone.
  • Model gives Redlands a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 10%
Redlands Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George Willawong Redlands
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Redlands
0:3
Mar 6, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs St. George Willawong
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. George Willawong Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Redlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugh J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balarezo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George Willawong 14 / 100
Redlands 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George Willawong Redlands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redlands Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redlands has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

St. George Willawong's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

St. George Willawong has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. George Willawong VS Redlands
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. George Willawong

(Home)
15 Aug
St. George Willawong
1 : 6
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1
St. George Willawong
02 Aug
St. George Willawong
0 : 1
Brisbane Strikers
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
Page 1 of 6

Redlands

(Away)
15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0
Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Brisbane Strikers
3 : 0
Redlands
01 Aug
Redlands
2 : 2
Caboolture
19 Jul
Robina City
1 : 1
Redlands
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1
Capalaba FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)