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St. George Willawong vs Western Spirit FC

Australia Australia

Brisbane Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Mabelo P.
62' Event
64' Event

AI Match Summary

The Brisbane Premier League game between St. George Willawong and Western Spirit FC finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. George Willawong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
St. George Willawong
6%
Draws
4%
Western Spirit FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. George Willawong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • St. George Willawong carry the better recent record into this one.
  • St. George Willawong are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Brisbane Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 68%
Western Spirit FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George Willawong Western Spirit FC
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 8 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Western Spirit FC
3:2
May 22, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Western Spirit FC vs St. George Willawong
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. George Willawong Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Western Spirit FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mabelo P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bowman K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George Willawong 95 / 100
Western Spirit FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George Willawong Western Spirit FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Western Spirit FC conceded in 91% of 22 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: St. George Willawong stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Western Spirit FC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. George Willawong VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St. George Willawong

(Home)
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
04 Jul
Capalaba FC
0 : 2
St. George Willawong
27 Jun
St. George Willawong
2 : 0
North Star
19 Jun
Holland Park Hawks
2 : 1
St. George Willawong
Page 1 of 7

Western Spirit FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Gravatt
2 : 1
Western Spirit FC
29 Sept
Western Spirit FC
2 : 2
The Gap
26 Sept
St. George Willawong
3 : 2
Western Spirit FC
18 Sept
Western Spirit FC
0 : 2
Bayside United
11 Sept
Acacia Ridge
4 : 1
Western Spirit FC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albany Creek221930102:1860
2Bayside United22142648:2544
3The Lakes FC22133660:4542
4St. George Willawong22122856:3938
5Gravatt22103938:4133
6Acacia Ridge22103942:4733
7Toowong City2295847:4632
8Univ. of Queensland22731227:4624
9Centenary Stormers22651130:4923
10The Gap22451319:4417
11Western Spirit FC22441436:7016
12Brisbane Knights22421629:6414
Promotion - Brisbane Premier League (Play Offs)