Sport Picks

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St. Louis FC vs North Carolina FC

USA USA

USL Championship 2020
Sun, Sep 27, 2020
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Louis FC host North Carolina FC in the USL Championship 2020. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: St. Louis FC at 0 goals for, 0 against; North Carolina FC at 1.75 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, St. Louis FC have won 0 to North Carolina FC's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.48 - 1.43) back North Carolina FC to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
St. Louis FC
22%
Draws
18%
North Carolina FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: St. Louis FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • North Carolina FC have won more games recently than St. Louis FC.
  • St. Louis FC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship 2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
St. Louis FC Clean Sheet 17%
North Carolina FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Louis FC North Carolina FC
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2020 USL Championship
St. Louis FC vs North Carolina FC
0:0
Jun 20, 2020 USL Championship
North Carolina FC vs St. Louis FC
0:0
Oct 19, 2019 USL Championship
North Carolina FC vs St. Louis FC
1:0
Jun 23, 2019 USL Championship
St. Louis FC vs North Carolina FC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis FC 57 / 100
North Carolina FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Louis FC North Carolina FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St. Louis FC scored in 65% of their last 17 outings.

North Carolina FC has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: St. Louis FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS North Carolina FC
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Louis FC

(Home)
17 Oct
Louisville City
2 : 0
St. Louis FC
10 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1
St. Louis FC
03 Oct
St. Louis FC
2 : 1
Indy Eleven
27 Sept
St. Louis FC
0 : 1
Louisville City
23 Sept
Indy Eleven
1 : 1
St. Louis FC
Page 1 of 4

North Carolina FC

(Away)
09 Nov
North Carolina FC
0 : 2
Rhode Island
01 Nov
North Carolina FC
1 : 0
Loudoun United
25 Oct
Loudoun United
0 : 1
North Carolina FC
18 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 0
Rhode Island
10 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 2
Phoenix Rising
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Reno 186816113243:2136
2Sacramento Republic1686227:1730
3Tacoma Defiance16421025:3214
4Portland Timbers 216301320:509
Promotion - USL Championship 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Phoenix Rising16112346:1735
2Ventura County1682629:3226
3Orange County SC1673618:1824
4San Diego Loyal1665517:1823
5Las Vegas Lights1625924:3411
Promotion - USL Championship 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Paso Locomotive1695224:1432
2New Mexico1583423:1727
3Colorado Springs1627719:2813
4Real Monarchs16321114:2511
Promotion - USL Championship 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio FC16103330:1433
2FC Tulsa1567221:1625
3Austin Bold1657430:2722
4Oklahoma City Energy FC1617812:2910
5Rio Grande Valley FC Toros1423917:289
Promotion - USL Championship 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City16112328:1235
2St. Louis FC1674522:2125
3Indy Eleven1672721:1923
4Sporting Kansas City II16511021:3016
Promotion - USL Championship 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hartford Athletic16112331:2435
2Pittsburgh Riverhounds16111439:1034
3New York Red Bulls II16501130:3715
4Philadelphia Union II16231120:459
5Loudoun United1313910:286
Promotion - USL Championship 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence1684424:2228
2Birmingham Legion1674529:1925
3North Carolina FC1561817:2119
4Memphis 9011544724:3116
Promotion - USL Championship 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay16103325:1133
2Charleston1593326:1530
3Miami FC1644820:3416
4Atlanta United 216331023:3312
Promotion - USL Championship 2020 (Play Offs)