Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
St. Michaels in this FAI Cup 2014 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Michaels
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- St. Michaels have won more games recently than St Francis.
- 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- St. Michaels have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor St. Michaels, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
St. Michaels Clean Sheet 20%
St Francis Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Michaels | St Francis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2014 FAI Cup
St. Michaels vs St Francis
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Michaels 32 / 100
St Francis 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Michaels St Francis
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St Francis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St Francis let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
St Francis's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
St. Michaels scored in 46% of their last 13 games.
Scoring Trends
St. Michaels VS St Francis
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Michaels
(Home) 16 May
St. Michaels
1 : 3 Janesboro
19 Jul
Salthill
1 : 0 St. Michaels
18 May
St. Michaels
: Usher Celtic
22 Jul
St. Michaels
0 : 5 Waterford
10 Aug
St. Michaels
0 : 1 Glengad United
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16 May
St. Michaels
1 : 3 Janesboro
18 May
St. Michaels
: Usher Celtic
22 Jul
St. Michaels
0 : 5 Waterford
10 Aug
St. Michaels
0 : 1 Glengad United
25 May
St. Michaels
1 : 0 Sheriff YC
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St Francis
(Away) 19 Sept
TU Dublin
1 : 1 St Francis
12 Sept
St Francis
1 : 1 Letterkenny Rovers
29 Aug
Mayo FC
1 : 0 St Francis
18 May
Midleton
3 : 0 St Francis
27 Apr
St. Michaels
2 : 1 St Francis
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19 Sept
TU Dublin
1 : 1 St Francis
29 Aug
Mayo FC
1 : 0 St Francis
18 May
Midleton
3 : 0 St Francis
27 Apr
St. Michaels
2 : 1 St Francis
12 May
Drogheda
1 : 0 St Francis
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
Leixlip United 1
St. Patricks CY 2
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
St Mochta's -
Limerick -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Avondale United 4
Carrigaline Utd 1
TBD -
Collinstown -
University College Cork 2
Swilly Rovers 1
St Francis 1
St. Michaels 2
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Belgrove 1
Drumcondra FC 0
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff YC -
Athlone -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
Galway United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Cockhill -
Phoenix 3
Bluebell Utd 2
TBD -
Ballynanty Rovers -
Malahide United 2
Tolka 1
TBD -
Mayfield Utd -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 3
St. Patricks CY 0
Waterford 0
Shelbourne 1
Cork City 6
St Mochta's 0
Limerick 1
Bohemians 2
Avondale United 2
Collinstown 0
University College Cork 2
St. Michaels 4
Wexford 1
Bray 0
Belgrove 0
Finn Harps 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Sheriff YC 0
Athlone 0
Longford 2
Galway United 3
UC Dublin 1
Sligo Rovers 0
Dundalk 3
Drogheda 4
Cockhill 2
Phoenix 1
Ballynanty Rovers 2
Malahide United 3
Mayfield Utd 1
Cobh Ramblers 0
Derry City 2
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 2
Shelbourne 1
Cork City 2
Bohemians 3
Avondale United 2
St. Michaels 0
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 2
Shamrock Rovers 3
Longford 0
Galway United 1
Dundalk 2
Drogheda 4
Ballynanty Rovers 0
Malahide United 0
Derry City 3
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 3
Bohemians 2
Avondale United 2
Finn Harps 5
Shamrock Rovers 2
Dundalk 1
Drogheda 2
Derry City 7
Semi-finals
St. Patricks 6
Finn Harps 1
Shamrock Rovers 1
Derry City 3
Final
St. Patricks 2
Derry City 0
