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St. Petersburg FC vs Miami City

USA USA

USL League Two 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Miami City in this USL League Two 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Miami City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
St. Petersburg FC
6%
Draws
4%
Miami City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Petersburg FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. Petersburg FC lately — more wins on the board than Miami City.
  • Win probability leans St. Petersburg FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular USL League Two 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
St. Petersburg FC Clean Sheet 13%
Miami City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Petersburg FC Miami City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2025 USL League Two
St. Petersburg FC vs Miami City
5:0
Jun 15, 2025 USL League Two
Miami City vs St. Petersburg FC
2:3
Jun 28, 2023 USL League Two
Miami City vs St. Petersburg FC
2:0
May 20, 2023 USL League Two
St. Petersburg FC vs Miami City
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Petersburg FC 84 / 100
Miami City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Petersburg FC Miami City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Petersburg FC scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Miami City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

St. Petersburg FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Petersburg FC VS Miami City
2.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Petersburg FC

(Home)
12 Jul
St. Petersburg FC
3 : 1
Weston
08 Jul
St. Petersburg FC
1 : 2
Fort Lauderdale United
02 Jul
St. Petersburg FC
1 : 1
Sarasota Paradise
28 Jun
St. Petersburg FC
5 : 0
Miami City
21 Jun
Miami AC
1 : 3
St. Petersburg FC
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Miami City

(Away)
10 Jul
Miami City
0 : 2
Lakeland United
08 Jul
Lakeland United
1 : 0
Miami City
05 Jul
Miami City
0 : 2
Miami AC
01 Jul
Miami City
1 : 1
Fort Lauderdale United
24 Jun
Miami AC
1 : 1
Miami City
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