Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Polten W vs Sturm Graz W

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 NV Arena, Sankt Pölten
St. Polten W Logo

St. Polten W

2 - 0
FT
Sturm Graz W Logo

Sturm Graz W

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Brunold C.
Assist: Nagy F.
46'
Sub
Krejcova L. In: Tragl L.
Out: Krejcova L.
57'
Brandl E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between St. Polten W and Sturm Graz W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Polten W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
St. Polten W
15%
Draws
51%
Sturm Graz W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sturm Graz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • St. Polten W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on St. Polten W taking it.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors St. Polten W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
St. Polten W Clean Sheet 12%
Sturm Graz W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Polten W Sturm Graz W
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 24 16
Draws 6 3
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.85 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs St. Polten W
2:3
May 1, 2026 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs Sturm Graz W
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs Sturm Graz W
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs St. Polten W
1:2
May 10, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs St. Polten W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Polten W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunold C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mattner-Trembleau S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sturm Graz W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Polten W 47 / 100
Sturm Graz W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Polten W Sturm Graz W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Polten W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St. Polten W scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Sturm Graz W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

St. Polten W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Polten W VS Sturm Graz W
2.88 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Polten W

(Home)
19 Sept
St. Polten W
9 : 1
FC Sudburgenland W
12 Sept
First Vienna W
1 : 4
St. Polten W
02 Sept
Juventus W
1 : 1
St. Polten W
29 Aug
St. Polten W
2 : 0
Salzburg W
26 Aug
St. Polten W
0 : 3
Juventus W
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Sturm Graz W

(Away)
18 Sept
Sturm Graz W
2 : 0
Rapid Vienna W
13 Sept
Union Kleinmunchen W
0 : 4
Sturm Graz W
02 Sept
Gintra Universitetas W
3 : 5
Sturm Graz W
29 Aug
Sturm Graz W
3 : 1
FC Sudburgenland W
26 Aug
Sturm Graz W
2 : 1
Gintra Universitetas W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria Vienna W 6 2 4 0 58:8 62
2 St. Polten W 6 4 2 0 72:13 60
3 Sturm Graz W 6 1 1 4 47:35 38
4 Salzburg W 6 0 3 3 37:43 31
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)