Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Aga O.
20'
20'
Semmen N.
Assist: Andersen P.
33'
33'
Krogstad F.
Assist: Hanstad J.
AI Match Summary
Moss in this OBOS-ligaen matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moss.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moss
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Stabaek lately — more wins on the board than Moss.
- Stabaek are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Stabaek Clean Sheet 15%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stabaek | Moss |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.28 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Moss
2:3
May 30, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Stabaek
2:2
Mar 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Stabaek vs Moss
2:0
Aug 2, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Moss
3:3
Apr 27, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Stabaek
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stabaek Compare
Top Goalscorer Krogstad F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hanstad J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Moss Compare
Top Goalscorer Aga O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Semmen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stabaek 41 / 100
Moss 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stabaek Moss
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stabaek scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Moss let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Moss lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stabaek VS Moss
3.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Stabaek
(Home) 20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1 Sogndal
16 Sept
Pors
2 : 1 Stabaek
12 Sept
Bryne
2 : 0 Stabaek
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3 Moss
30 Aug
Hodd
2 : 1 Stabaek
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1 Sogndal
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3 Moss
26 Aug
Stabaek
4 : 2 Ranheim
08 Aug
Stabaek
4 : 3 Lyn
27 Jul
Stabaek
6 : 0 Hodd
Page 1 of 3
Moss
(Away) 23 Sept
Grorud
2 : 1 Moss
20 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 2 Moss
13 Sept
Moss
1 : 4 Haugesund
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3 Moss
30 Aug
Moss
1 : 2 Strommen
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Grorud
2 : 1 Moss
20 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 2 Moss
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3 Moss
22 Aug
Lorenskog
0 : 3 Moss
15 Aug
Bryne
2 : 1 Moss
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haugesund | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 72:39 | 52 |
| 2 | Kongsvinger | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 68:35 | 50 |
| 3 | Stromsgodset | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 60:31 | 48 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 57:29 | 45 |
| 5 | Odds BK | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 47:36 | 36 |
| 6 | Bryne | 23 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 32:31 | 35 |
| 7 | Hodd | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 38:45 | 34 |
| 8 | Egersund | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 36:44 | 29 |
| 9 | Ranheim | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 56:58 | 28 |
| 10 | Lyn | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 39:48 | 28 |
| 11 | Moss | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 38:52 | 25 |
| 12 | Strommen | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 35:52 | 25 |
| 13 | Sandnes Ulf | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 32:42 | 24 |
| 14 | Sogndal | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 38:53 | 23 |
| 15 | Asane | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 34:52 | 19 |
| 16 | Raufoss | 23 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 26:61 | 19 |
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)
