Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stade Pontivyen vs Lucon Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

Coupe de France 2012/2013
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Seck M.
39' Event
Seck M.
40' Event
Larbi M.

AI Match Summary

Lucon in this Coupe de France 2012/2013 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Stade Pontivyen
15%
Draws
12%
Lucon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stade Pontivyen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lucon lately — more wins on the board than Stade Pontivyen.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Stade Pontivyen taking it.
  • Lucon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lucon, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Stade Pontivyen Clean Sheet 20%
Lucon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Pontivyen Lucon
Matches Played 15 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 0 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 8, 2012 Coupe de France
Stade Pontivyen vs Lucon
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Pontivyen Compare

Top Goalscorer Cledy D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Lucon Compare

Top Goalscorer Seck M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Larbi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Pontivyen 85 / 100
Lucon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Pontivyen Lucon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Pontivyen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stade Pontivyen scored in 87% of their last 15 outings.

Lucon has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Away concern: Lucon has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stade Pontivyen VS Lucon
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Pontivyen

(Home)
19 Nov
Stade Pontivyen
1 : 2
Rouen
08 Jan
Stade Pontivyen
1 : 4
Les Herbiers
19 Nov
Alencon
0 : 1
Stade Pontivyen
29 Oct
St Gregoire
0 : 1
Stade Pontivyen
07 Dec
Stade Pontivyen
0 : 1
Lorient
Page 1 of 3

Lucon

(Away)
13 Nov
Lucon
0 : 2
Laval
03 Jun
Lucon
3 : 3
Les Herbiers
27 May
Beziers
1 : 0
Lucon
13 May
Lucon
1 : 5
Orleans
06 May
Dunkerque
5 : 1
Lucon
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Thonon-Evian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Club de France 2
Raismes 1
Camon 1
Amiens AC 2
Saint-Malo 2
Herouville 0
Tefana 1
Pontivy 5
St. Saturnin 3
Montagnarde 2
Club Colonial 0
Vertou 1
Avenir Lozere 1
Pont Du Gard 0
UES Montmorillon 0
Limoges 1
Limonest 4
Thiers 3
Roche Saint-Genest 0
Arles-Avignon 1
Belfort 7
Quetigny 0
Belfort Sud 1
Sainte Marguerite 2
Saint-Amand 3
Beauvais 1
Bretigny Foot 0
Le Havre 2
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laval 1
AC Plouzane 0
Courseulles RSG 3
Guingamp 4
AC Ajaccio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Blois Foot 41 3
Perigny 0
Aire 0
Rouen 2
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CA Vitry 2
Marly 1
JA Drancy 1
Boulogne 2
Arras 3
Saint-Omer 2
Val Dize 0
Angers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims Ste Anne 2
Chantilly 0
Breteuil 1
Caen 3
Le Portel 6
Enquin Les Mines 0
Saint-Pauloise FC 2
Dunkerque 3
Chambly 1
Marck 0
Avion 1
Meaux 2
Plabennec 2
Avranches 0
St. Colomban Locmine 3
Sable 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
Nimes 2
Luzenac 1
Stade Montois 0
Tarbes 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Brest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Pontivyen 2
Change 1
Saumur Olympique 0
Lucon 2
Bastia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vallieres ET 2
Millery Vourles 1
Neuville 1
Borgo 2
Sedan 2
Dijon 1
Wittemheim 0
Strasbourg 6
Colmar 5
L'Etoile 0
Feyzin 1
Pontarlier 2
Chauray 5
La Roche Vendee 0
Limagnole 2
Agde 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lorient -
Troyes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mulhouse 3
Lossi 0
Entente Roche Novillars 0
Montceau 3
AS Muret 3
Narbonne 2
Football Club Marmande 47 1
La Brede 2
Vitre 2
La Vieille Lyre 1
Stade Poitevin 0
Fontenay 1
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco 3
Toulon 1
Auxerre 0
Bourg Peronnas 1
Thaon 2
Dijon Parc 1
ES Metz 0
Haguenau 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sochaux -
Venissieux FC 2
Grenoble 1
USC Corte 1
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 3
Villefranche 2
Dommartin Tour 0
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
Savigneux Montbrison 2
Le Mans 3
Aubervilliers 0
Cesson 2
Evreux 3
Ytrac 1
Balma 0
RC Ancenis 0
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympique les Mureaux 2
Lesquin 0
Biesheim 2
Metz 6
Drouais 1
Viry-Chatillon 0
Orleans 1
Evry 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nancy -
Lens 3
Les Lilas 0
Cambrai 0
Armentieres 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Carquefou 2
Le Rheu 0
Monce En Belin 1
St. Leonard Kreisker 2
Niort 1
Gueret 0
Pau 0
Stade Bordelais 1
Nantes 1
Romorantin 0
AS Plobannalec Lesconil 1
St. Renan 2
Compiegne 2
Mtsapere 1
Le Geldar 1
Dieppe 4
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Louis Neuweg 2
GFC Ajaccio 0
Illzach Modenheim 2
Epinal 3
Raon L Etape 2
Dizier 1
Schirrhein 1
Bar-Le-Duc 2
Fleury 91 2
Tours 1
Epernay 0
Amneville 2
Valenciennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aurillac 2
Colomiers 0
Saint Jean Dardiere 0
Istres 2
Moulins 2
Lyon - La Duchere 0
Clermont 1
Moulins-Yzeure 2
Martigues 2
Berre SP 0
Salinieres 1
Athletico Marseille 2
Chateauroux 3
Rodeo 0
Aulnay 0
Mondeville 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
1/64-finals
Thonon-Evian -
TBD -
Racing Club de France 0
Amiens AC 1
Saint-Malo 3
Pontivy 0
St. Saturnin 0
Vertou 3
Avenir Lozere 4
Limoges 2
Limonest 0
Arles-Avignon 1
Belfort 1
Sainte Marguerite 0
Saint-Amand 1
Le Havre 3
Marseille -
TBD -
Laval 1
Guingamp 2
AC Ajaccio -
TBD -
Blois Foot 41 0
Rouen 2
Toulouse -
TBD -
CA Vitry 0
Boulogne 3
Arras 1
Angers 0
TBD -
PSG -
St Etienne -
TBD -
Reims Ste Anne 0
Caen 5
Le Portel 2
Dunkerque 1
Chambly 0
Meaux 1
Plabennec 3
Sable 2
TBD -
Reims -
Nimes 5
Tarbes 0
TBD -
Lille -
Brest -
TBD -
Stade Pontivyen 1
Lucon 4
Bastia -
TBD -
Vallieres ET 0
Borgo 2
Sedan 1
Strasbourg 0
Colmar 2
Pontarlier 3
Chauray 1
Agde 0
TBD -
Lorient -
Troyes -
TBD -
Mulhouse 0
Montceau 2
AS Muret 1
La Brede 0
Vitre 1
Fontenay 2
Montpellier -
TBD -
Monaco 0
Bourg Peronnas 1
Thaon 3
Haguenau 2
TBD -
Sochaux -
Venissieux FC 1
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 0
Villefranche 1
Savigneux Montbrison 2
Le Mans 1
Evreux 0
Ytrac 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 6
Nice -
TBD -
Olympique les Mureaux 0
Metz 1
Drouais 3
Evry 2
TBD -
Nancy -
Lens 6
Armentieres 0
TBD -
Rennes -
Carquefou 5
St. Leonard Kreisker 0
Niort 0
Stade Bordelais 1
Nantes 1
St. Renan 0
Compiegne 0
Dieppe 4
Lyon -
TBD -
St. Louis Neuweg 1
Epinal 3
Raon L Etape 3
Bar-Le-Duc 2
Fleury 91 0
Amneville 2
Valenciennes -
TBD -
Aurillac 0
Istres 1
Moulins 1
Moulins-Yzeure 0
Martigues 1
Athletico Marseille 4
Chateauroux 1
Mondeville 0
TBD -
Bordeaux -
1/32-finals
Thonon-Evian 2
Amiens AC 1
Saint-Malo 1
Vertou 2
Avenir Lozere 2
Arles-Avignon 0
Belfort 1
Le Havre 3
Marseille 2
Guingamp 1
AC Ajaccio 1
Rouen 2
Toulouse 1
Boulogne 0
Arras 3
PSG 4
St Etienne 3
Caen 2
Le Portel 0
Meaux 1
Plabennec 1
Reims 0
Nimes 2
Lille 3
Brest 2
Lucon 1
Bastia 0
Borgo 2
Sedan 2
Pontarlier 1
Chauray 1
Lorient 5
Troyes 1
Montceau 0
AS Muret 0
Fontenay 2
Montpellier 2
Bourg Peronnas 1
Thaon 0
Sochaux 1
Venissieux FC 2
Savigneux Montbrison 1
Le Mans 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 2
Nice 3
Metz 2
Drouais 1
Nancy 5
Lens 2
Rennes 1
Carquefou 0
Stade Bordelais 1
Nantes 3
Dieppe 2
Lyon 3
Epinal 4
Raon L Etape 2
Amneville 1
Valenciennes 3
Istres 4
Moulins 2
Athletico Marseille 1
Chateauroux 2
Bordeaux 3
1/16-finals
Thonon-Evian 2
Vertou 0
Avenir Lozere 0
Le Havre 3
Marseille 2
Rouen 1
Toulouse 1
PSG 3
St Etienne 1
Meaux 0
Plabennec 1
Lille 3
Brest 3
Borgo 1
Sedan 0
Lorient 1
Troyes 5
Fontenay 0
Montpellier 2
Sochaux 3
Venissieux FC 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 0
Nice 2
Nancy 3
Lens 3
Stade Bordelais 0
Nantes 1
Epinal 2
Raon L Etape 1
Istres 0
Moulins 1
Bordeaux 2
1/8-finals
Thonon-Evian 3
Le Havre 1
Marseille 0
PSG 2
St Etienne 3
Lille 2
Brest 0
Lorient 3
Troyes 2
Sochaux 1
Venissieux FC 0
Nancy 2
Lens 2
Epinal 0
Raon L Etape 2
Bordeaux 3
Quarter-finals
Thonon-Evian 2
PSG 1
St Etienne 1
Lorient 2
Troyes 3
Nancy 0
Lens 2
Bordeaux 3
Semi-finals
Thonon-Evian 4
Lorient 0
Troyes 1
Bordeaux 2
Final
Thonon-Evian 2
Bordeaux 3