Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stadtallendorf vs Erlensee

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Phillips M.
79' Event
Heuser D.

AI Match Summary

Stadtallendorf in this Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stadtallendorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Stadtallendorf
15%
Draws
17%
Erlensee
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stadtallendorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stadtallendorf lately — more wins on the board than Erlensee.
  • Win probability leans Stadtallendorf's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Stadtallendorf have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Stadtallendorf Clean Sheet 20%
Erlensee Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stadtallendorf Erlensee
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 4 20
Goals Scored 2.16 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Stadtallendorf vs Erlensee
2:0
Nov 11, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
Erlensee vs Stadtallendorf
2:3
Nov 26, 2022 Oberliga Hessen
Erlensee vs Stadtallendorf
0:3
Aug 13, 2022 Oberliga Hessen
Stadtallendorf vs Erlensee
3:1
Nov 13, 2021 Oberliga Hessen
Erlensee vs Stadtallendorf
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stadtallendorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Phillips M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Heuser D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Erlensee Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stadtallendorf 85 / 100
Erlensee 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stadtallendorf Erlensee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stadtallendorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stadtallendorf's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Erlensee conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Stadtallendorf has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stadtallendorf VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stadtallendorf

(Home)
19 Sept
Stadtallendorf
2 : 0
Darmstadt U21
12 Sept
Baunatal
0 : 3
Stadtallendorf
09 Sept
Stadtallendorf
0 : 2
VfB Marburg
05 Sept
Stadtallendorf
5 : 0
Hadamar
30 Aug
CSC 03 Kassel
1 : 3
Stadtallendorf
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Erlensee

(Away)
25 Jan
Erlensee
0 : 4
Aschaffenburg
16 Jul
RW Walldorf
3 : 0
Erlensee
03 Jul
Erlensee
4 : 0
Hanau
27 Jun
Erlensee
1 : 5
Hanauer SC
01 Jun
Stadtallendorf
2 : 0
Erlensee
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Giessen 34 22 7 5 69:28 73
2 Turk Gucu Friedberg 34 23 5 6 93:42 71
3 Baunatal 34 20 7 7 70:43 67
4 Alzenau 34 19 6 9 72:40 63
5 Hanauer SC 34 19 3 12 70:55 57
6 Eddersheim 34 16 7 11 56:45 55
7 Hunfelder 34 16 6 12 67:62 54
8 Fernwald 34 15 5 14 64:55 50
9 Weidenhausen 34 14 8 12 62:56 50
10 RW Walldorf 34 13 7 14 62:63 46
11 Waldgirmes 34 11 7 16 48:76 40
12 Stadtallendorf 34 10 9 15 53:54 39
13 Hanau 34 9 7 18 56:78 34
14 VfB Marburg 34 9 7 18 46:71 34
15 SV Steinbach 34 7 12 15 46:69 33
16 Viktoria Griesheim 34 8 9 17 39:71 33
17 Erlensee 34 7 6 21 42:71 27
18 TUS Dietkirchen 34 6 6 22 49:85 24
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 (Relegation)