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Stafford vs Marske United

England England

NPL Premier Division 2023/2024
Sat, Mar 9, 2024
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stafford host Marske United in the NPL Premier Division 2023/2024. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Stafford have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.53 conceded recently, against Marske United's 0.9 scored and 1.9 conceded. Past meetings favor Stafford slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.23, favoring Stafford. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Stafford
15%
Draws
27%
Marske United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stafford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Stafford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Stafford taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Stafford Clean Sheet 20%
Marske United Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stafford Marske United
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 12 3
Draws 2 0
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.17 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Stafford vs Marske United
0:0
Feb 3, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Marske United vs Stafford
0:0
Jan 28, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Stafford vs Marske United
2:0
Sep 24, 2022 NPL Premier Division
Marske United vs Stafford
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stafford 85 / 100
Marske United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stafford Marske United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stafford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marske United conceded in 90% of 10 recent games.

Recent resilience: Stafford stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Stafford scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Stafford VS Marske United
0.5 Goals Scored 0.2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 40%
50% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stafford

(Home)
19 Sept
Stafford
3 : 2
Hereford
12 Sept
Kidsgrove Athletic
0 : 3
Stafford
05 Sept
Stafford
3 : 0
Northampton on Chenecks
29 Aug
Corby
0 : 2
Stafford
14 Jul
Stafford
0 : 0
Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 6

Marske United

(Away)
05 Sept
Workington
3 : 0
Marske United
09 Jul
Marske United
1 : 2
Spennymoor
30 Dec
Marske United
0 : 2
Morpeth
26 Dec
Guiseley
2 : 3
Marske United
23 Dec
Marske United
1 : 0
Ashton United
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Radcliffe 40 28 3 9 103:58 87
2 Macclesfield 40 24 5 11 84:47 77
3 Marine 40 23 7 10 87:44 76
4 Warrington Rylands 40 21 12 7 65:42 75
5 Worksop 40 21 7 12 72:49 70
6 Hyde 40 19 10 11 68:48 67
7 Ashton United 40 19 10 11 73:63 67
8 Gainsborough 40 19 6 15 66:63 63
9 Lancaster 40 18 8 14 60:62 62
10 Guiseley 40 18 7 15 69:63 61
11 Ilkeston 40 18 6 16 69:62 60
12 Whitby 40 17 8 15 60:50 56
13 Morpeth 40 14 8 18 76:81 50
14 United of Manchester 40 15 4 21 55:77 48
15 Matlock 40 14 5 21 62:77 47
16 Bamber Bridge 40 12 11 17 63:82 47
17 Workington 40 11 11 18 67:81 44
18 Basford Utd. 40 9 10 21 44:65 37
19 Bradford PA 40 7 9 24 50:85 30
20 Stafford 40 9 3 28 36:81 30
21 Atherton Collieries 40 7 4 29 47:96 25
22 Marske United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - National League North 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 (Play Offs)