Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2012/2013

Stafford

Tue, Sep 11, 2012

2 - 1

06:45 PM

Stourport

Our Tip

Match Events

44'

Pountney L.

90'

Dicker R.

110'

Dicker R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Stafford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%

Stafford

30%

Draws

Stourport

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stafford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Stafford come out ahead of Stourport on wins alone.
Win probability leans Stafford's way, sitting at 90%.
Stafford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Stafford, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Stafford Clean Sheet 17%

Stourport Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stafford	Stourport
Matches Played	29	12
Wins	10	2
Draws	3	4
Losses	16	6
Goals Scored	1.03	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.59	1.58
Expected Goals (xG)	0.97	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2012 FA Cup

Stafford vs Stourport

2:1

Sep 8, 2012 FA Cup

Stourport vs Stafford

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stafford Compare

Top Goalscorer Dicker R.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.75

Avg xA / game 0.48

Stourport Compare

Top Goalscorer Pountney L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stafford 84 / 100

Stourport 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stafford Stourport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stafford Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Stourport conceded in 92% of 12 recent games.

Recent resilience: Stafford stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Stafford scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Stafford VS -

0.75 Goals Scored 0

1.75 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stafford

(Home)

19 Sept

Stafford

3 : 2

Hereford

12 Sept

Kidsgrove Athletic

0 : 3

Stafford

05 Sept

Stafford

3 : 0

Northampton on Chenecks

29 Aug

Corby

0 : 2

Stafford

14 Jul

Stafford

0 : 0

Shrewsbury

Page 1 of 6

Stourport

(Away)

06 Sept

Stourport

0 : 1

Lichfield City

03 Sept

Lichfield City

2 : 2

Stourport

09 Sept

AFC Mansfield

2 : 1

Stourport

15 Sept

Stourport

0 : 1

Holbeach

12 Sept

Holbeach

2 : 2

Stourport

Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Cambridge Utd -

TBD -

Luton -

Alfreton -

TBD -

Gateshead -

Hyde -

TBD -

Frickley 2

Worksop 0

Nantwich 0

Chorley 2

West Auckland Town 3

Ashington 2

TBD -

Harrogate -

United of Manchester 5

Cammell Laird 0

Lancaster 0

Salford 4

Witton Albion 4

Burscough 2

Dunston 5

Kendal 7

TBD -

Hereford -

Barrow -

TBD -

Tamworth -

Guiseley -

TBD -

Bootle 1

Bamber Bridge 2

Warrington Town 1

Maine Road 0

TBD -

Colwyn Bay -

Hednesford 3

Redditch 0

Dudley 0

Nuneaton Griff 1

Stamford 2

Holbeach 1

Quorn 1

Buxton 2

Grimsby -

TBD -

Kidderminster -

Bradford PA -

TBD -

Maltby 1

Curzon Ashton 8

New Mills 2

Retford United 1

Rainworth 3

Carlton Town 5

Hinckley -

TBD -

Wolverhampton Casuals 3

Tividale 5

North Ferriby United 2

Eccleshill United 0

Farsley 1

Ossett Albion 2

Wrexham -

TBD -

Southport -

AFC Fylde 3

Ramsbottom Utd 1

Bedlington 0

Bishop Auckland 1

Westfields 5

Norton United 2

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Gresley 6

Thurnby 3

Stourport 2

Stafford 3

Belper Town 3

Matlock 0

Coalville Town 0

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1

Boston United -

TBD -

FC Wisbech Town 0

Kettering 3

Skelmersdale 1

Clitheroe 0

Holker Old Boys 0

Tadcaster Albion 3

Leek Town 5

Bewdley Town 0

Rushall 1

Bridgnorth Town 3

Shildon 3

Durham 1

TBD -

Altrincham -

Lincoln City -

TBD -

Chester -

TBD -

Gainsborough -

Abbey Hey 2

Atherton Collieries 1

TBD -

Halifax -

Macclesfield -

TBD -

Trafford 4

Runcorn F.C. 0

South Shields 0

Spennymoor 2

Ashton United 3

Prescot Cables 1

Stocksbridge 0

Marine 3

Workington -

TBD -

Garforth 0

Blyth Spartans 1

Bedworth United 2

Rugby 1

Wulfrunians 0

Barwell 3

TBD -

Mansfield -

Stockport County -

TBD -

Whitby 2

Ossett Town 1

TBD -

Droylsden -

Vauxhall -

TBD -

Stalybridge -

Telford -

TBD -

Nuneaton -

South Park 2

Walton & Hersham 1

Colney Heath 1

Harefield United 2

Maldon & Tiptree 2

Soham 0

Wroxham 0

Brentwood 5

Dereham 4

Bugbrooke 1

Market Drayton 2

Chasetown 3

Berkhamsted Town 4

Uxbridge 3

Beckenham Town 1

Metropolitan Police 7

Didcot 1

Windsor & Eton 0

Sherborne Town 0

Clevedon 5

Bognor Regis 4

Epsom 0

TBD -

Maidenhead -

Brackley -

TBD -

King’s Lynn 3

Daventry 4

Dulwich Hamlet 5

Godalming Town 4

Barton 0

Arlesey 1

Forest Green -

TBD -

Dartford -

Yate 2

Winchester City 1

TBD -

Oxford City -

Havant & Waterlooville -

TBD -

Wantage 1

North Leigh 6

TBD -

Newport -

Hastings 3

Chatham 1

TBD -

Staines -

Whitehawk 5

Sittingbourne 0

Ware 0

Hitchin 5

Sholing 4

Melksham 0

Gillingham Town 3

Taunton Town 1

Fareham 2

Christchurch 1

Almondsbury UWE 0

Blackfield & Langley 4

Bromley -

TBD -

Sutton -

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Dover Ath. -

Weston-super-Mare -

TBD -

Larkhall 0

Frome Town 4

Gornal 3

Sutton Coldfield Town 0

TBD -

Worcester -

Chelmsford -

TBD -

Tooting & Mitcham 1

Leatherhead 3

Thamesmead 2

Worthing FC 0

Greenwich Borough 0

Cray Wanderers 1

Maidstone 4

Chipstead 0

Norwich Utd 1

Grays 2

Kingstonian 3

Guildford City 0

FC Witham Town 0

East Thurrock Utd 2

AFC Totton 6

Swindon Supermarine 0

TBD -

Truro -

Hungerford 3

Banbury 1

Cinderford Town 1

Merthyr Town 4

Billericay -

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Grantham Town 5

Loughborough Dynamo 3

Huntingdon 0

Cambridge City 7

Welling -

TBD -

Needham Market 0

Concord Rangers 1

Horsham FC 1

VCD Athletic 0

Basildon 0

Thurrock 3

Chalfont St Peter 3

Newport Pagnell 2

Pagham 0

Carshalton 3

Enfield Town 2

Margaretsbury 0

TBD -

Stortford -

Braintree -

TBD -

St. Albans 3

Harrow Borough 1

Dunstable Town 2

Ashford Town 5

Wealdstone 2

Biggleswade Town 0

Tilbury 0

Lowestoft 2

Dorchester -

TBD -

Highworth 1

Wootton 3

Weymouth 5

Totton & Eling 2

TBD -

Basingstoke -

Hampton & Richmond 3

Kempston 0

Hemel Hempstead 2

Walthamstow FC 5

Wingate & Finchley 4

Royston Town 3

Canvey Island 0

Bury Town 3

Gloucester City -

TBD -

Marlow 1

Thatcham 3

Farnborough -

TBD -

Eastleigh -

Badshot Lea 3

Folkestone 2

Southend Manor 1

Leiston 5

Bishops Cleeve 6

Bracknell Town 0

Mangotsfield 1

Chippenham Town 3

Corby -

TBD -

Stourbridge 3

Leamington 4

Eastwood 4

Blaby & Whetstone 2

TBD -

Histon -

Eastbourne Borough -

TBD -

Bedford 0

Waltham Abbey 1

Lewes 3

Redhill 1

Potters 1

Hendon 4

Woking -

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Slough Town 4

Lingfield 1

Littlehampton 0

Eastbourne Town 1

Aveley 6

Hadleigh 1

Faversham 0

Margate 3

Bath City -

TBD -

Plymouth Parkway 3

Buckland 7

Bideford 5

Bodmin Town 4

Bashley 3

Gosport Borough 4

Hayes & Yeading -

TBD -

Sudbury 1

Heybridge 4

Newport Isle of Wight 2

Horndean 0

TBD -

Salisbury -

Northwood 1

Chesham 0

London Lions 2

AFC Dunstable 4

Neots 5

Peterborough Northern Star 0

TBD -

Boreham Wood -

Quarter-finals

Cambridge Utd -

TBD -

Luton -

Alfreton -

TBD -

Gateshead -

Hyde -

TBD -

Frickley 3

Chorley 1

West Auckland Town 3

Harrogate 7

United of Manchester 3

Salford 2

Witton Albion 2

Kendal 4

TBD -

Hereford -

Barrow -

TBD -

Tamworth -

Guiseley 1

Bamber Bridge 0

Warrington Town 2

Colwyn Bay 3

Hednesford 3

Nuneaton Griff 2

Stamford 1

Buxton 3

Grimsby -

TBD -

Kidderminster -

Bradford PA 3

Curzon Ashton 1

New Mills 3

Carlton Town 4

Hinckley 5

Tividale 3

North Ferriby United 1

Ossett Albion 2

Wrexham -

TBD -

Southport -

AFC Fylde 2

Bishop Auckland 1

Westfields 2

Solihull Moors 3

Gresley 3

Stafford 2

Belper Town 3

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 7

Boston United 1

Kettering 0

Skelmersdale 1

Tadcaster Albion 4

Leek Town 3

Bridgnorth Town 0

Shildon 0

Altrincham 3

Lincoln City -

TBD -

Chester 3

Gainsborough 2

Abbey Hey 0

Halifax 6

Macclesfield -

TBD -

Trafford 5

Spennymoor 3

Ashton United 0

Marine 2

Workington 2

Blyth Spartans 1

Bedworth United 2

Barwell 3

TBD -

Mansfield -

Stockport County -

TBD -

Whitby 4

Droylsden 3

Vauxhall 0

Stalybridge 1

Telford -

TBD -

Nuneaton -

South Park 4

Harefield United 1

Maldon & Tiptree 2

Brentwood 3

Dereham 2

Chasetown 1

Berkhamsted Town 0

Metropolitan Police 3

Didcot 3

Clevedon 1

Bognor Regis 2

Maidenhead 4

Brackley 4

Daventry 0

Dulwich Hamlet 0

Arlesey 1

Forest Green -

TBD -

Dartford -

Yate 2

Oxford City 1

Havant & Waterlooville 0

North Leigh 1

TBD -

Newport -

Hastings 3

Staines 2

Whitehawk 1

Hitchin 6

Sholing 3

Gillingham Town 1

Fareham 0

Blackfield & Langley 2

Bromley 1

Sutton 0

Tonbridge 1

Dover Ath. 2

Weston-super-Mare 2

Frome Town 0

Gornal 0

Worcester 4

Chelmsford 2

Leatherhead 1

Thamesmead 1

Cray Wanderers 3

Maidstone 5

Grays 0

Kingstonian 2

East Thurrock Utd 3

AFC Totton 3

Truro 2

Hungerford 1

Merthyr Town 2

Billericay 3

Hornchurch 1

Grantham Town 1

Cambridge City 3

Welling 3

Concord Rangers 2

Horsham FC 1

Thurrock 2

Chalfont St Peter 1

Carshalton 0

Enfield Town 1

Stortford 4

Braintree -

TBD -

St. Albans 6

Ashford Town 2

Wealdstone 1

Lowestoft 2

Dorchester 4

Wootton 0

Weymouth 1

Basingstoke 3

Hampton & Richmond 1

Walthamstow FC 0

Wingate & Finchley 1

Bury Town 2

Gloucester City 2

Thatcham 1

Farnborough 1

Eastleigh 2

Badshot Lea 4

Leiston 2

Bishops Cleeve 1

Chippenham Town 2

Corby 3

Leamington 2

Eastwood 3

Histon 5

Eastbourne Borough 4

Waltham Abbey 2

Lewes 0

Hendon 3

Woking -

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Slough Town 5

Eastbourne Town 1

Aveley 1

Margate 4

Bath City 2

Buckland 1

Bideford 0

Gosport Borough 2

Hayes & Yeading 3

Heybridge 2

Newport Isle of Wight 0

Salisbury 3

Northwood 4

AFC Dunstable 1

Neots 1

Boreham Wood 2

Semi-finals

Cambridge Utd -

TBD -

Luton -

Alfreton -

TBD -

Gateshead -

Hyde -

TBD -

Frickley 2

Harrogate 3

United of Manchester 3

Kendal 1

TBD -

Hereford -

Barrow -

TBD -

Tamworth -

Guiseley 4

Colwyn Bay 2

Hednesford 3

Buxton 4

Grimsby -

TBD -

Kidderminster -

Bradford PA 3

Carlton Town 1

Hinckley 2

Ossett Albion 3

Wrexham -

TBD -

Southport -

AFC Fylde 4

Solihull Moors 1

Gresley 2

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 4

Boston United 2

Tadcaster Albion 0

Leek Town 0

Altrincham 2

Lincoln City -

TBD -

Chester 2

Halifax 4

Macclesfield -

TBD -

Trafford 1

Marine 3

Workington 3

Barwell 1

TBD -

Mansfield -

Stockport County -

TBD -

Whitby 1

Stalybridge 3

Telford -

TBD -

Nuneaton -

South Park 3

Brentwood 1

Dereham 1

Metropolitan Police 3

Didcot 1

Maidenhead 0

Brackley 3

Arlesey 4

Forest Green -

TBD -

Dartford -

Yate 2

North Leigh 1

TBD -

Newport -

Hastings 4

Hitchin 3

Sholing 1

Blackfield & Langley 3

Bromley 2

Dover Ath. 1

Weston-super-Mare 1

Worcester 2

Chelmsford 2

Cray Wanderers 1

Maidstone 0

East Thurrock Utd 3

AFC Totton 3

Merthyr Town 2

Billericay 3

Cambridge City 5

Welling 4

Thurrock 2

Chalfont St Peter 2

Stortford 4

Braintree -

TBD -

St. Albans 0

Lowestoft 1

Dorchester 1

Basingstoke 0

Hampton & Richmond 0

Bury Town 4

Gloucester City 1

Eastleigh 0

Badshot Lea 1

Chippenham Town 3

Corby 3

Histon 2

Eastbourne Borough 3

Hendon 4

Woking -

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Slough Town 1

Margate 0

Bath City 2

Gosport Borough 4

Hayes & Yeading 2

Salisbury 1

Northwood 0

Boreham Wood 4

Stage 5

TBD -

Stage 4

TBD -

Stage 3

TBD -

Stage 2

TBD -

Stage 1

TBD -

Final

Cambridge Utd 0

Luton 2

Alfreton 2

Gateshead 0

Hyde 1

Harrogate 2

United of Manchester 0

Hereford 2

Barrow 2

Tamworth 0

Guiseley 2

Buxton 0

Grimsby 2

Kidderminster 4

Bradford PA 4

Ossett Albion 1

Wrexham 2

Southport 0

AFC Fylde 2

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1

Boston United 1

Altrincham 3

Lincoln City 2

Halifax 0

Macclesfield 3

Marine 1

Workington 1

Mansfield 2

Stockport County 5

Stalybridge 3

Telford 2

Nuneaton 3

South Park 0

Metropolitan Police 3

Didcot 0

Arlesey 1

Forest Green 5

Dartford 2

Yate 6

Newport 4

Hastings 3

Blackfield & Langley 0

Bromley 1

Worcester 0

Chelmsford 7

East Thurrock Utd 6

AFC Totton 2

Cambridge City 3

Welling 1

Stortford 3

Braintree 3

Lowestoft 2

Dorchester 3

Bury Town 1

Gloucester City 1

Chippenham Town 0

Corby 1

Hendon 2

Woking 0

Ebbsfleet 1

Slough Town 2

Gosport Borough 1

Hayes & Yeading 2

Boreham Wood 3

Stafford vs Stourport

England

Stafford

Stourport

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Stafford Compare

Stourport Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Stafford

Stourport

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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