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Stal Mielec vs Jaroslaw Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Czernysz J.
77' Event
Trialist C
88' Event
Ziobron E.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Stal Mielec and Jaroslaw finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Stal Mielec
20%
Draws
70%
Jaroslaw
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jaroslaw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Jaroslaw carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jaroslaw's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 10%
Jaroslaw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Mielec Jaroslaw
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.86 2.26
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Stal Mielec vs Jaroslaw
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Mielec Compare

Top Goalscorer Ziobron E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Jaroslaw Compare

Top Goalscorer Czernysz J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trialist C
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Mielec 10 / 100
Jaroslaw 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Mielec Jaroslaw

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaroslaw Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Mielec scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Jaroslaw has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Stal Mielec remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stal Mielec VS Jaroslaw
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Stal Mielec

(Home)
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1
Odra Opole
02 Sept
Leczna
4 : 3
Stal Mielec
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0
Stal Mielec
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Jaroslaw

(Away)
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3
Naprzod Jedrzejow
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2
Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
3 : 1
Jaroslaw
05 Sept
Jaroslaw
6 : 2
Korona Kielce II
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