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Stadium Background

Stal Mielec vs Jaroslaw

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Czernysz J.
77' Event
Trialist C
88' Event
Ziobron E.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Stal Mielec and Jaroslaw finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Stal Mielec
28%
Draws
50%
Jaroslaw
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Jaroslaw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Jaroslaw carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jaroslaw's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 16%
Jaroslaw Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Mielec Jaroslaw
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Stal Mielec vs Jaroslaw
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Mielec Compare

Top Goalscorer Ziobron E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Jaroslaw Compare

Top Goalscorer Czernysz J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trialist C
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Mielec 23 / 100
Jaroslaw 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Mielec Jaroslaw

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Mielec scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Jaroslaw has conceded goals in 80% of their last 25 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Stal Mielec remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stal Mielec VS Jaroslaw
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.57
88% Over 1.5 43%
75% Over 2.5 29%
63% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Stal Mielec

(Home)
17 Jul
Stal Mielec
3 : 4
Avia Swidnik
17 Jul
Stal Mielec
2 : 2
Jaroslaw
11 Jul
Stal Mielec
1 : 4
Puszcza
04 Jul
Stal Mielec
1 : 0
Sandecja Nowy S.
01 Jul
Stal Mielec
1 : 5
Podhale Nowy Targ
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Jaroslaw

(Away)
17 Jul
Stal Mielec
2 : 2
Jaroslaw
15 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 4
Jaroslaw
11 Jul
Jaroslaw
1 : 1
Kolbuszowa Dolna
22 Feb
Jaroslaw
3 : 3
Start Pruchnik
18 Feb
Jaroslaw
5 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
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