Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stal Stalowa Wola vs Hetman Zamosc

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stal Stalowa Wola play Hetman Zamosc in the III Liga - Group IV 2020/2021. Stal Stalowa Wola are favorites here. Recently, Stal Stalowa Wola averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Hetman Zamosc averaged 0.9 goals scored and 3.72 conceded. In past meetings, Stal Stalowa Wola won 3, Hetman Zamosc won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 13, 2021 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Stal Stalowa Wola and 0.81 for Hetman Zamosc. This points to a Stal Stalowa Wola double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Stal Stalowa Wola
25%
Draws
16%
Hetman Zamosc
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Stal Stalowa Wola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Stal Stalowa Wola picked up more points recently compared to Hetman Zamosc.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Stal Stalowa Wola Clean Sheet 26%
Hetman Zamosc Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Stalowa Wola Hetman Zamosc
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 4
Draws 15 1
Losses 6 24
Goals Scored 1.5 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.21 3.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Hetman Zamosc
5:0
Sep 6, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Stal Stalowa Wola
1:1
Apr 18, 2003 Division 1
Hetman Zamosc vs Stal Stalowa Wola
2:0
Sep 13, 2002 Division 1
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Hetman Zamosc
3:1
Mar 24, 2001 Division 1
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Hetman Zamosc
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Stalowa Wola Compare

Top Goalscorer Mrozinski P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Khorolskyi V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hetman Zamosc Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Stalowa Wola 58 / 100
Hetman Zamosc 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Stalowa Wola Hetman Zamosc

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stal Stalowa Wola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Stal Stalowa Wola & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stal Stalowa Wola attacking → ← attacking Hetman Zamosc

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Stalowa Wola scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Hetman Zamosc let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Stal Stalowa Wola went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Hetman Zamosc lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 13
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wisla Pulawy403064100:3196
2Chelmianka Chelm402271170:4573
3Sokol Sieniawa402110962:3773
4Stal Stalowa Wola402271177:4473
5Avia Swidnik4020101088:4070
6Wisloka Debica4020101075:4570
7Podhale Nowy Targ4018111158:4965
8Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska401881474:5862
9Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski401941763:5061
10Siarka Tarnobrzeg401781559:5259
11Cracovia II401591656:4954
12Sandomierz401591653:6254
13LKS Lagow4014101657:6252
14Biala Podlaska401462060:8448
15Orleta Radzyn401452158:7147
16Lewart Lubartow4011131646:4846
17Wiazownica401372053:8146
18Korona Kielce II401262250:7842
19Stal Krasnik4010121851:5842
20Jutrzenka Giebultow40772648:10928
21Hetman Zamosc40353235:14014