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Stal Stalowa Wola vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stal Stalowa Wola play Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow in the Club Friendly 2025. Stal Stalowa Wola are favorites here. Recently, Stal Stalowa Wola averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Stal Stalowa Wola won 1, Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 18, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Stal Stalowa Wola and 1.00 for Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow. This points to a Stal Stalowa Wola double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Stal Stalowa Wola
25%
Draws
15%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Stal Stalowa Wola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Stal Stalowa Wola picked up more points recently compared to Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Stal Stalowa Wola Clean Sheet 23%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Stalowa Wola Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 10
Draws 15 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.37 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1:0
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Stalowa Wola Compare

Top Goalscorer Nowak O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Stalowa Wola 59 / 100
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Stalowa Wola Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stal Stalowa Wola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Stal Stalowa Wola & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stal Stalowa Wola attacking → ← attacking Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Stalowa Wola scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Stal Stalowa Wola went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 38
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50