Sport Picks
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Warta Poznan
Poland
Division 2 2025/2026 Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola, Stalowa Wola 
Match Events
17'
17'
Spiewak K.
46'
46'
Sub
Surzyn M. In: Hebel M.
Out: Surzyn M.
58'
58'
Sub
Steblecki S. In: Dziedzic K.
Out: Steblecki S.
AI Match Summary
Warta Poznan in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warta Poznan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Stal Stalowa Wola
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Warta Poznan lately — more wins on the board than Stal Stalowa Wola.
- Win probability leans Stal Stalowa Wola's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Warta Poznan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Stal Stalowa Wola Clean Sheet 20%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stal Stalowa Wola | Warta Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 13 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Division 2
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Warta Poznan
0:1
Sep 26, 2025 Division 2
Warta Poznan vs Stal Stalowa Wola
3:1
Feb 24, 2025 Division 1
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Warta Poznan
0:0
Aug 10, 2024 Division 1
Warta Poznan vs Stal Stalowa Wola
1:0
Apr 8, 2018 Division 2
Warta Poznan vs Stal Stalowa Wola
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stal Stalowa Wola Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Warta Poznan Compare
Top Goalscorer Walus F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stal Stalowa Wola 85 / 100
Warta Poznan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stal Stalowa Wola Warta Poznan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stal Stalowa Wola went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Warta Poznan's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Stal Stalowa Wola found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).
Warta Poznan let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Stal Stalowa Wola VS Warta Poznan
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Stal Stalowa Wola
(Home) 25 Jul
Legia II
0 : 2 Stal Stalowa Wola
18 Jul
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 1 Widzew Lodz II
11 Jul
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 2 Avia Swidnik
30 May
Hutnik Krakow
0 : 1 Stal Stalowa Wola
23 May
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 1 Widzew Lodz II
11 Jul
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 2 Avia Swidnik
23 May
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
08 May
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 0 Kleczew
24 Apr
Stal Stalowa Wola
1 : 1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Page 1 of 3
Warta Poznan
(Away) 24 Jul
Polonia Bytom
4 : 3 Warta Poznan
18 Jul
Warta Poznan
3 : 4 Polkowice
18 Jul
Warta Poznan
1 : 2 Zielona Gora
11 Jul
Chrobry Glogow
3 : 1 Warta Poznan
03 Jul
Motor Lublin
4 : 1 Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Polonia Bytom
4 : 3 Warta Poznan
11 Jul
Chrobry Glogow
3 : 1 Warta Poznan
03 Jul
Motor Lublin
4 : 1 Warta Poznan
23 May
Podhale Nowy Targ
2 : 2 Warta Poznan
17 May
KKS Kalisz
0 : 2 Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unia Skierniewice | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 69:45 | 68 |
| 2 | Warta Poznan | 34 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 57:37 | 64 |
| 3 | Ol. Grudziadz | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 69:42 | 64 |
| 4 | Podbeskidzie | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 64:43 | 58 |
| 5 | Slask Wroclaw II | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 65:49 | 55 |
| 6 | Sandecja Nowy S. | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 54:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46:35 | 53 |
| 8 | Chojniczanka | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:47 | 52 |
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45:48 | 46 |
| 10 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 56:43 | 46 |
| 11 | Hutnik Krakow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:40 | 46 |
| 12 | Swit Szczecin | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 51:59 | 44 |
| 13 | R. Rzeszow | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 48:47 | 42 |
| 14 | Kleczew | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 47:62 | 37 |
| 15 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:61 | 34 |
| 16 | KKS Kalisz | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 37:55 | 34 |
| 17 | LKS Lodz II | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 33:64 | 25 |
| 18 | GKS Jastrzebie | 34 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 18:84 | 6 |
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)