Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Lobjoit L.
27'
27'
Keeble J.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between Stamford and Leiston finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stamford.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leiston
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Stamford haven't matched Leiston's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Leiston's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Stamford Clean Sheet 17%
Leiston Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stamford | Leiston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stamford vs Leiston
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Stamford
3:0
Feb 8, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stamford vs Leiston
0:2
Nov 2, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Stamford
1:1
Mar 23, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stamford vs Leiston
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stamford Compare
Top Goalscorer Lobjoit L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Keeble J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Leiston Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stamford 20 / 100
Leiston 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stamford Leiston
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leiston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stamford scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
Leiston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Stamford went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stamford VS Leiston
1 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Stamford
(Home) 15 Aug
Stamford
1 : 2 Racing Club Warwick
11 Aug
Stamford
0 : 1 Bury Town
08 Aug
Stourbridge
2 : 0 Stamford
25 Apr
Stamford
0 : 0 Harborough
18 Apr
Royston Town
0 : 3 Stamford
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Stamford
1 : 2 Racing Club Warwick
11 Aug
Stamford
0 : 1 Bury Town
25 Apr
Stamford
0 : 0 Harborough
14 Apr
Stamford
4 : 0 Banbury
06 Apr
Stamford
1 : 0 Quorn
Page 1 of 3
Leiston
(Away) 15 Aug
Leiston
1 : 2 Rushall
11 Aug
Leiston
3 : 1 Stortford
08 Aug
Anstey Nomads
1 : 1 Leiston
28 Jul
Gorleston
1 : 3 Leiston
10 Jul
Aveley
2 : 4 Leiston
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Anstey Nomads
1 : 1 Leiston
28 Jul
Gorleston
1 : 3 Leiston
10 Jul
Aveley
2 : 4 Leiston
25 Apr
Alvechurch
1 : 1 Leiston
14 Apr
Real Bedford
0 : 1 Leiston
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
