Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Start vs Fredrikstad

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Sparebanken Sør Arena, Kristiansand
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Start host Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Fredrikstad have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Start have conceded 2.75 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Fredrikstad slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.88) back Fredrikstad to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Start
15%
Draws
21%
Fredrikstad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Start

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / Medium Confidence
  • Fredrikstad have won more games recently than Start.
  • Win probability leans Start's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Start Clean Sheet 10%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Start Fredrikstad
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Start
2:1
Sep 3, 2023 OBOS-ligaen
Start vs Fredrikstad
2:2
Jun 11, 2023 OBOS-ligaen
Fredrikstad vs Start
3:1
Jul 31, 2022 OBOS-ligaen
Start vs Fredrikstad
1:0
Apr 18, 2022 OBOS-ligaen
Fredrikstad vs Start
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Start 38 / 100
Fredrikstad 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Start Fredrikstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fredrikstad conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Start found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Fredrikstad's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Start VS Fredrikstad
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Start

(Home)
25 Jul
Kristiansund
1 : 2
Start
18 Jul
Start
0 : 3
Rosenborg
12 Jul
Brann
2 : 1
Start
04 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0
Start
29 May
Fredrikstad
2 : 1
Start
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Fredrikstad

(Away)
27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Fredrikstad
17 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0
Fredrikstad
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2
Lillestrom
04 Jul
Valerenga
3 : 1
Fredrikstad
28 Jun
Fredrikstad
0 : 0
Elfsborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 16 12 2 2 41:11 38
2 Viking 14 11 1 2 34:14 34
3 Tromso 15 9 4 2 26:15 31
4 Lillestrom 15 8 1 6 22:18 25
5 Molde 14 7 2 5 25:19 23
6 Sarpsborg 08 14 6 3 5 15:16 21
7 Ham-Kam 15 6 3 6 23:26 21
8 Valerenga 15 6 2 7 22:27 20
9 Brann 15 6 1 8 30:25 19
10 Rosenborg 14 5 3 6 19:18 18
11 Sandefjord 14 4 3 7 13:20 15
12 Fredrikstad 14 4 2 8 15:27 14
13 Aalesund 14 2 7 5 19:29 13
14 KFUM Oslo 14 3 3 8 15:25 12
15 Kristiansund 14 3 3 8 12:23 12
16 Start 15 2 4 9 16:34 10
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)