Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Start vs Fredrikstad

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Sparebanken Sør Arena, Kristiansand
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Wesseh G.
Assist: Leach S.
46'
Sub
Toure O. In: Dashaev D.
Out: Toure O.
52'
Sub
Reitan E. In: Ujkani A.
Out: Reitan E.

AI Match Summary

Fredrikstad in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fredrikstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Start
20%
Draws
38%
Fredrikstad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Start

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Fredrikstad have won more games recently than Start.
  • Win probability leans Fredrikstad's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Start Clean Sheet 13%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Start Fredrikstad
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Eliteserien
Start vs Fredrikstad
0:1
May 29, 2026 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Start
2:1
Sep 3, 2023 OBOS-ligaen
Start vs Fredrikstad
2:2
Jun 11, 2023 OBOS-ligaen
Fredrikstad vs Start
3:1
Jul 31, 2022 OBOS-ligaen
Start vs Fredrikstad
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Start Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Fredrikstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesseh G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Start 19 / 100
Fredrikstad 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Start Fredrikstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fredrikstad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fredrikstad conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Start found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Start stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Start VS Fredrikstad
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Start

(Home)
20 Sept
Sandefjord
3 : 0
Start
16 Sept
Vindbjart
2 : 3
Start
13 Sept
Start
2 : 0
Brann
04 Sept
Aalesund
2 : 0
Start
30 Aug
Start
4 : 1
KFUM Oslo
Page 1 of 6

Fredrikstad

(Away)
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
16 Sept
Stjordals Blink
0 : 1
Fredrikstad
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4
Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 21 16 2 3 54:20 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 21 9 2 10 39:32 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)