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Stadium Background

Start Warlubie vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 game between Start Warlubie and Polonia Sroda Wielkopol finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Start Warlubie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Start Warlubie
17%
Draws
70%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Polonia Sroda Wielkopol come out ahead of Start Warlubie on wins alone.
  • Model gives Polonia Sroda Wielkopol a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Start Warlubie Clean Sheet 17%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Start Warlubie Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Start Warlubie
3:0
Nov 11, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Start Warlubie vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Start Warlubie 15 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Start Warlubie Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Start Warlubie scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Start Warlubie

(Home)
04 Jun
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 0
Start Warlubie
28 May
Start Warlubie
0 : 3
Elana Torun
21 May
Lech Poznan II
5 : 0
Start Warlubie
14 May
Start Warlubie
2 : 0
KKS Kalisz
07 May
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 1
Start Warlubie
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Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

(Away)
18 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 : 3
Ol. Grudziadz
15 Jul
Warta Sieradz
2 : 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
08 Jul
Zawisza
1 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Kluczevia Stargard
1 : 2
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Warta Poznan30188457:2462
2Pelikan Niechanowo30195660:2862
3Lech Poznan II30179469:2360
4Kleczew30158763:3053
5Jarocin30149747:2751
6Polonia Sroda Wielkopol30156945:2851
7Wda Swiecie30147937:3749
8KKS Kalisz301361141:4145
9Elana Torun301351251:4144
10Unia Swarzedz301081239:5538
11Start Warlubie30981340:4535
12Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski30941739:6731
13Ostrovia Ostrow30851736:4829
14Nielba Wagrowiec30651932:6823
15Sparta Brodnica304101626:5522
16Kujawianka30332426:9112
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)