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Steinfort vs Hesperange

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Hesperange advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Steinfort
15%
Draws
85%
Hesperange
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hesperange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Hesperange haven't matched Steinfort's recent run of results.
  • Steinfort are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Steinfort have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hesperange, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hesperange have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Steinfort Clean Sheet 20%
Hesperange Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Steinfort Hesperange
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 20 22
Goals Scored 0.83 0.78
Goals Conceded 2.57 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Luxembourg Cup
Steinfort vs Hesperange
0:3
Mar 22, 2009 BGL Ligue
Hesperange vs Steinfort
2:0
Sep 28, 2008 BGL Ligue
Steinfort vs Hesperange
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Steinfort 49 / 100
Hesperange 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Steinfort Hesperange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Steinfort Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hesperange's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Difficult form: Hesperange registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Steinfort found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Hesperange
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Steinfort

(Home)
05 Oct
Steinfort
0 : 3
Hesperange
30 Sept
Steinfort
0 : 1
Bettembourg
01 Oct
Steinfort
0 : 8
Mondercange
18 Oct
Steinfort
1 : 3
Jeunesse Junglinster
10 Nov
Steinfort
0 : 2
Victoria Rosport
Page 1 of 6

Hesperange

(Away)
20 Sept
Echternach
2 : 1
Hesperange
16 Sept
Differdange
3 : 0
Hesperange
13 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3
FC Residence Walferdange
06 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3
Ettelbruck
30 Aug
Kaerjeng
6 : 0
Hesperange
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Lintgen 1
Bissen 0
Echternach 3
Ettelbruck 2
The Belval Belvaux 5
US Sandweiler 0
Clemency 0
Mondorf 4
Oberkorn 0
Racing Luxembourg 1
Steinfort 0
Hesperange 3
Lorentzweiler 0
Victoria Rosport 2
US Moutfort/Medingen 1
Bettembourg 4
FC 47 Bastendorf 3
Luxembourg City 2
FC Orania Vianden 4
Berdenia Berbourg 3
Union Remich/Bous 3
Koeppchen 2
Syra Mensdorf 2
Dudelange 5
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
US Feulen 1
FC Schengen 1
Hostert 5
Union Tetange 2
Avenir Beggen 0
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
UNA Strassen 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
FC Mamer 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Schifflange 3
FC Ehlerange 1
Fola 3
Mertzig 2
Union Titus Petange 4
Pfaffenthal 1
Kaerjeng 2
Jeunesse Useldange 1
FC Marisca Mersch 3
Alliance Aischdall 2
Alisontia Steinsel 3
AS Colmar-Berg 0
Differdange 14
AS Luxembourg/Porto 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 1
Mondercange 6
Izeg 0
Wiltz 4
Diekirch 1
FC Residence Walferdange 2
Sporting Bertrange 1
Jeunesse Esch 7
US Folschette 0
Rumelange 6
Red Boys Aspelt 0
Progres Niedercorn 8
1/16-finals
Lintgen 2
Echternach 1
The Belval Belvaux 1
Mondorf 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
Hesperange 0
Victoria Rosport 2
Bettembourg 0
FC 47 Bastendorf 3
FC Orania Vianden 1
Union Remich/Bous 2
Dudelange 3
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Hostert 4
Union Tetange 0
UNA Strassen 8
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Schifflange 0
Fola 1
Union Titus Petange 3
Kaerjeng 2
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Differdange 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
FC Rodange 91 0
Mondercange 1
Wiltz 6
FC Residence Walferdange 0
Jeunesse Esch 1
Rumelange 1
Progres Niedercorn 3
1/8-finals
Lintgen 2
The Belval Belvaux 1
Racing Luxembourg 3
Victoria Rosport 1
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Dudelange 4
Hostert 1
UNA Strassen 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 2
Union Titus Petange 7
Kaerjeng 0
Differdange 4
Jeunesse Canach 1
Wiltz 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Quarter-finals
Lintgen 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
Dudelange 4
UNA Strassen 2
Union Titus Petange 0
Differdange 2
Wiltz 3
Progres Niedercorn 2
Semi-finals
Racing Luxembourg 2
Dudelange 3
Differdange 3
Wiltz 0
Final
Dudelange 2
Differdange 3