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Steinkjer vs Kolstad

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Granhus A.
23' Event
Eide A.
32' Event
Guven S.

AI Match Summary

Steinkjer in this Division 3 - Group 5 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Steinkjer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Steinkjer
15%
Draws
28%
Kolstad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Steinkjer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Kolstad haven't matched Steinkjer's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Steinkjer a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Steinkjer have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Steinkjer Clean Sheet 18%
Kolstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Steinkjer Kolstad
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 2 1
Losses 18 26
Goals Scored 1.62 0.93
Goals Conceded 3.07 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Kolstad vs Steinkjer
3:5
Jun 10, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Steinkjer vs Kolstad
3:2
Sep 24, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Kolstad vs Steinkjer
0:1
Jun 25, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Steinkjer vs Kolstad
2:1
Oct 26, 2019 Division 3 - Group 5
Kolstad vs Steinkjer
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Steinkjer Compare

Top Goalscorer Granhus A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Kolstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Eide A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guven S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Steinkjer 85 / 100
Kolstad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Steinkjer Kolstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Steinkjer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kolstad conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Steinkjer scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Kolstad has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Steinkjer VS Kolstad
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 4.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Steinkjer

(Home)
29 Oct
Steinkjer
0 : 1
Verdal
22 Oct
Bodo/Glimt 2
8 : 0
Steinkjer
14 Oct
Steinkjer
2 : 4
Rana FK
07 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
1 : 6
Steinkjer
01 Oct
Steinkjer
3 : 0
Rosenborg 2
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Kolstad

(Away)
29 Oct
Nardo
8 : 0
Kolstad
22 Oct
Kolstad
4 : 2
Mosjoen
14 Oct
Byasen
17 : 0
Kolstad
07 Oct
Kolstad
0 : 3
Tiller
30 Sept
Strindheim
3 : 0
Kolstad
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