Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir

2 - 0

Forfar Athletic

Our Tip

Match Events

56'

Sub

Pasnik T. In: MacLean R.

Out: Pasnik T.

60'

Sub

Alston B. In: Arnott A.

Out: Alston B.

66'

Hodgkiss L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%

Stenhousemuir

15%

Draws

18%

Forfar Athletic

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence

Stenhousemuir have won more games recently than Forfar Athletic.
67% — that's where the model lands on Stenhousemuir taking it.
Stenhousemuir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Stenhousemuir, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 68%

Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stenhousemuir	Forfar Athletic
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	18	8
Draws	8	8
Losses	3	12
Goals Scored	1.55	1.07
Goals Conceded	0.79	1.79
Expected Goals (xG)	1.94	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 League Cup

Stenhousemuir vs Forfar Athletic

2:0

Mar 16, 2024 League Two

Forfar Athletic vs Stenhousemuir

1:1

Jan 6, 2024 League Two

Stenhousemuir vs Forfar Athletic

2:1

Nov 4, 2023 League Two

Forfar Athletic vs Stenhousemuir

1:3

Aug 5, 2023 League Two

Stenhousemuir vs Forfar Athletic

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stenhousemuir Compare

Top Goalscorer Hodgkiss L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Aitken M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.49

Avg xA / game 0.97

Forfar Athletic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74

Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenhousemuir 95 / 100

Forfar Athletic 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stenhousemuir Forfar Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stenhousemuir Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 8:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stenhousemuir scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Stenhousemuir remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Forfar Athletic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Stenhousemuir VS Forfar Athletic

1.75 Goals Scored 1.13

0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13

63% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stenhousemuir

(Home)

04 Sept

Livingston

0 : 1

Stenhousemuir

29 Aug

Stenhousemuir

3 : 1

Inverness

22 Aug

Queen's Park

0 : 2

Stenhousemuir

16 Aug

Stenhousemuir

1 : 0

Motherwell

08 Aug

Stenhousemuir

2 : 0

Morton

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Forfar Athletic

(Away)

05 Sept

Forfar Athletic

0 : 3

Stranraer

28 Aug

Edinburgh City

1 : 1

Forfar Athletic

22 Aug

Clyde

3 : 0

Forfar Athletic

15 Aug

Forfar Athletic

3 : 0

Stirling

11 Aug

Forfar Athletic

0 : 3

Aberdeen B

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