Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Ochilview Park

Forfar Athletic

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Stenhousemuir play Forfar Athletic in the League Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stenhousemuir averaged 1.59 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. Forfar Athletic averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, Stenhousemuir won 2, Forfar Athletic won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 16, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Stenhousemuir and 1.25 for Forfar Athletic. This points to a Stenhousemuir double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Stenhousemuir

35%

Draws

25%

Forfar Athletic

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Stenhousemuir picked up more points recently compared to Forfar Athletic.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 19%

Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stenhousemuir	Forfar Athletic
Matches Played	32	31
Wins	18	11
Draws	8	9
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	1.59	1.48
Goals Conceded	0.78	1.42
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 League Two

Forfar Athletic vs Stenhousemuir

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Jan 6, 2024 League Two

Stenhousemuir vs Forfar Athletic

Possession: 57% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Nov 4, 2023 League Two

Forfar Athletic vs Stenhousemuir

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 2 - 0

1:3

Aug 5, 2023 League Two

Stenhousemuir vs Forfar Athletic

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Mar 25, 2023 League Two

Stenhousemuir vs Forfar Athletic

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stenhousemuir 40 / 100

Forfar Athletic 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stenhousemuir Forfar Athletic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Stenhousemuir or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stenhousemuir attacking → ← attacking Forfar Athletic

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stenhousemuir scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Forfar Athletic let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Stenhousemuir went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Forfar Athletic lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 42

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00