Sport Picks
Stevenage vs Lincoln City
England
League One 2025/2026 Lamex Stadium, Stevenage 
Match Events
3'
3'
Thompson L.
Assist: Piergianni C.
17'
17'
Darikwa T.
27'
27'
Reid J.
Assist: Kemp D.
AI Match Summary
The League One 2025/2026 game between Stevenage and Lincoln City finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lincoln City come out ahead of Stevenage on wins alone.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 16%
Lincoln City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stevenage | Lincoln City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 21 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Lincoln City
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 League One
Lincoln City vs Stevenage
1:0
Jan 4, 2025 League One
Lincoln City vs Stevenage
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 League One
Stevenage vs Lincoln City
0:1
Mar 2, 2024 League One
Lincoln City vs Stevenage
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stevenage Compare
Top Goalscorer Thompson L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Reid J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Lincoln City Compare
Top Goalscorer Darikwa T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Street R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stevenage 31 / 100
Lincoln City 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stevenage Lincoln City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stevenage's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Lincoln City conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Stevenage stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stevenage VS Lincoln City
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Stevenage
(Home) 25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0 Millwall
22 Jul
Stevenage
0 : 5 West Ham
18 Jul
FC Andorra
0 : 0 Stevenage
13 May
Stockport County
2 : 0 Stevenage
09 May
Stevenage
0 : 1 Stockport County
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0 Millwall
22 Jul
Stevenage
0 : 5 West Ham
09 May
Stevenage
0 : 1 Stockport County
02 May
Stevenage
1 : 0 Wigan
21 Apr
Stevenage
1 : 0 Barnsley
Page 1 of 4
Lincoln City
(Away) 28 Jul
Grimsby
5 : 1 Lincoln City
17 Jul
Lincoln City
0 : 2 Leyton Orient
11 Jul
Boston United
0 : 1 Lincoln City
02 May
Port Vale
0 : 2 Lincoln City
25 Apr
Lincoln City
4 : 3 Wycombe
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Grimsby
5 : 1 Lincoln City
11 Jul
Boston United
0 : 1 Lincoln City
02 May
Port Vale
0 : 2 Lincoln City
21 Apr
Doncaster
0 : 2 Lincoln City
18 Apr
Stevenage
2 : 2 Lincoln City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
