Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stevenage vs Millwall

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
James-Wildin L. In: Earley S.
Out: James-Wildin L.
46'
Sub
Piergianni C. In: Pattenden J.
Out: Piergianni C.
48' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Stevenage and Millwall finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stevenage.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Stevenage
30%
Draws
23%
Millwall
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stevenage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Millwall's 1.33 goals per match outpaces what Stevenage have produced (1.14).
  • Stevenage are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 16%
Millwall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stevenage Millwall
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Stevenage vs Millwall
1:0
Aug 8, 2017 EFL Cup
Millwall vs Stevenage
2:0
Jul 25, 2017 Club Friendly
Stevenage vs Millwall
0:0
Jul 19, 2014 Club Friendly
Stevenage vs Millwall
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stevenage 84 / 100
Millwall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stevenage Millwall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stevenage Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stevenage scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Millwall conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Stevenage remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stevenage VS Millwall
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stevenage

(Home)
22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6
Stevenage
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0
Stevenage
10 Sept
Stevenage
2 : 1
Luton
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5
Stevenage
01 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 0
Stevenage
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Millwall

(Away)
19 Sept
Millwall
2 : 2
West Ham
15 Sept
Middlesbrough
2 : 2
Millwall
12 Sept
Blackburn
3 : 1
Millwall
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Millwall
4 : 0
Bolton
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