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Stjarnan vs Ilves Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Conference League Samsung völlurinn, Gardabaer
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Sub
Kilo J. In: Riski Ro.
Out: Kilo J.
58'
Sub
Veteli J. In: Multala O.
Out: Veteli J.
64'
Atlason E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Stjarnan
15%
Draws
40%
Ilves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stjarnan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ilves come out ahead of Stjarnan on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Ilves arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Stjarnan, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Stjarnan Clean Sheet 14%
Ilves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stjarnan Ilves
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.87 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Conference League
Ilves vs Stjarnan
3:1
Jul 23, 2026 Conference League
Stjarnan vs Ilves
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stjarnan Compare

Top Goalscorer Nokkvason G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ilves Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stjarnan 35 / 100
Ilves 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stjarnan Ilves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stjarnan scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Ilves has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Stjarnan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stjarnan VS Ilves
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stjarnan

(Home)
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2
Stjarnan
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2
Stjarnan
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2
Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

Ilves

(Away)
19 Sept
TPS
0 : 3
Ilves
12 Sept
Ilves
3 : 1
Lahti
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
22 Aug
Ilves
0 : 1
VPS
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Borac Banja Luka -
TBD -
TBD -
Petrocub Hincesti -
ML Vitebsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutjeska -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Tre Fiori -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Drita -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter Escaldes -
Klaksvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vardar -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Bissen -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
HJK -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
HB Torshavn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Freiburg -
Gornik Zabrze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Monaco -
Basaksehir -
TBD -
FK Sarajevo 2
Inter Turku 3
Vaduz -
TBD -
Mornar Bar 2
Atletic Escaldes 4
Debrecen -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 0
Pyunik Yerevan 4
Polissya Zhytomyr -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hegelmann 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Zira FK 6
Torpedo Kutaisi 0
Penybont 0
FC Santa Coloma 4
TBD -
Rapid Vienna -
Alashkert 4
Yelimay Semey 3
TBD -
CFR Cluj -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Mondorf 2
Dinamo Tbilisi 3
Petrovac 2
Zalgiris 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hammarby -
Paks -
TBD -
TBD -
Panathinaikos -
Spartak Trnava -
TBD -
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
IFK Goteborg -
TBD -
Caernarfon 0
Levadia 10
LNZ Cherkasy -
TBD -
TBD -
Gent -
Vllaznia 2
Malisheva 6
TBD -
Hibernian -
Bravo -
TBD -
Europa FC 0
Shkendija Tetovo 6
PAOK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj -
TBD -
TBD -
Brann -
Dila Gori 3
Virtus 2
TBD -
Apollon Limassol -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Zilina -
TBD -
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Bohemians 2
St Josephs 0
Connahs Q. 2
FC Ballkani 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Rijeka -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Vikingur 3
Stjarnan 5
Differdange 1
Ilves 3
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Varazdin -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Glentoran 1
RFS 4
TBD -
Vestri -
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Zrinjski -
GAIS -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Gallen -
FCSB -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
Aluminij -
TBD -
Dinamo City 4
FC Astana 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pafos -
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
TBD -
Noah -
AF Elbasani 1
BATE 2
TBD -
Sion -
Vojvodina -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
Kalju 3
Linfield 2
Zeleznicar Pancevo -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Neftci Baku -
TBD -
Din. Minsk 2
Sileks 1
AEK Larnaca -
TBD -
TBD -
Beitar Jerusalem -
Decic 1
FK Liepaja 3
TBD -
Austria Vienna -
Twente -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dun. Streda -
TBD -
Velez Mostar 2
Milsami 1
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizan -
TBD -
UNA Strassen 3
La Fiorita 0
FK Panevezys -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobol -
Lugano -
TBD -
TBD -
Dukagjini -
NSI Runavik 3
Hamrun 2
TBD -
Koper -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Quarter-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Borac Banja Luka 6
Petrocub Hincesti 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Sutjeska 1
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Tre Fiori -
TBD -
Floriana 2
Drita 3
Flora 2
TNS 1
TBD -
Inter Escaldes -
Klaksvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vardar 4
Riga FC 8
Bissen 3
Gyor 7
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
HJK 8
Coleraine 0
Motherwell 5
HB Torshavn 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Freiburg -
Gornik Zabrze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Basaksehir 1
Inter Turku 3
Vaduz 6
Atletic Escaldes 0
Debrecen 1
Pyunik Yerevan 0
Polissya Zhytomyr 4
FC Copenhagen 5
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Zira FK 1
FC Santa Coloma 3
Rapid Vienna 9
Alashkert 1
CFR Cluj 4
TBD -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Dinamo Tbilisi 5
Zalgiris 7
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Rakow Czestochowa 7
Valletta 1
TBD -
Hammarby -
Paks 3
Panathinaikos 4
Spartak Trnava 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
IFK Goteborg 4
Levadia 3
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Gent 1
Malisheva 3
Hibernian 4
Bravo 3
Shkendija Tetovo 4
PAOK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj 3
Brann 5
Dila Gori 0
Apollon Limassol 7
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv 4
Ludogorets 2
Zilina 3
GKS Katowice 4
Bohemians 5
FC Ballkani 4
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Rijeka 2
Derry City 0
Stjarnan 2
Ilves 3
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Varazdin 3
Jablonec 4
RFS 5
Vestri 2
Valur 3
Zrinjski 2
GAIS 1
Nordsjaelland 6
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Gallen -
FCSB 3
FK Auda Riga 7
Aluminij 1
Dinamo City 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pafos -
Zimbru Chisinau 2
Noah 3
BATE 1
Sion 5
Vojvodina 2
Ajax 8
Shelbourne 6
Kalju 4
Zeleznicar Pancevo 0
Braga 5
Neftci Baku 3
Din. Minsk 4
AEK Larnaca 3
Beitar Jerusalem 4
FK Liepaja 1
Austria Vienna 5
Twente -
TBD -
Dun. Streda 4
Velez Mostar 0
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizan 5
UNA Strassen 0
FK Panevezys 2
Tobol 3
Lugano 6
Dukagjini 1
NSI Runavik 4
Koper 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Semi-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Borac Banja Luka 3
ML Vitebsk 2
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Tre Fiori 1
Drita 9
Flora 0
Inter Escaldes 6
Klaksvik -
TBD -
Riga FC 2
Gyor 1
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
HJK 1
Motherwell 3
TBD -
Freiburg -
Gornik Zabrze -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Inter Turku 4
Vaduz 3
Debrecen 1
FC Copenhagen 8
Hearts -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Rapid Vienna 6
CFR Cluj 1
Tromso 7
TBD -
Brighton -
Zalgiris 2
Hajduk Split 9
Rakow Czestochowa 1
Hammarby 0
Panathinaikos 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia 2
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
IFK Goteborg 1
Gent 2
Hibernian 2
Shkendija Tetovo 1
PAOK -
TBD -
Brann 4
Apollon Limassol 3
Atalanta -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv 3
GKS Katowice 2
Bohemians 2
Midtjylland 5
Rijeka 2
Ilves 1
Rangers -
TBD -
Jablonec 4
RFS 1
Valur 0
Nordsjaelland 7
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
St. Gallen 8
FK Auda Riga 1
Dinamo City 4
TBD -
Pafos -
Noah 3
Sion 4
Ajax 5
Shelbourne 3
Braga 1
Din. Minsk 0
Beitar Jerusalem 3
Austria Vienna 4
Twente 9
Dun. Streda 3
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
Getafe -
TBD -
Partizan 5
Tobol 1
Lugano 4
NSI Runavik 2
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Borac Banja Luka 6
Shamrock Rovers 1
KuPS 2
Drita 2
Inter Escaldes 3
Klaksvik 1
Riga FC 2
Lincoln Red Imps 3
Larne 2
Motherwell 2
Freiburg 7
Gornik Zabrze 3
Monaco 7
Inter Turku 1
FC Copenhagen 4
Hearts 5
Rapid Vienna 4
Tromso 0
Brighton 4
Hajduk Split 5
Rakow Czestochowa 4
Panathinaikos 4
Hradec Kralove 3
Gent 3
Hibernian 2
PAOK 3
Brann 4
Atalanta 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0
Midtjylland 6
Rijeka 1
Rangers 1
Jablonec 2
Nordsjaelland 4
St. Gallen 2
Dinamo City 3
Pafos 5
Sion 5
Ajax 9
Braga 2
Austria Vienna 0
Twente 4
Qarabag Agdam 2
Getafe 4
Partizan 3
Lugano 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2