Sport Picks
Stoke City vs Swansea Prediction & H2H Stats
England
Championship 2025/2026 Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent 
Match Events
17'
17'
Cullen L.
27'
27'
Thomas S.
42'
42'
Pearson B.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Stoke City and Swansea finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stoke City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
20%
35%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stoke City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Swansea come out ahead of Stoke City on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Stoke City Clean Sheet 18%
Swansea Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stoke City | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Championship
Stoke City vs Swansea
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 Championship
Swansea vs Stoke City
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 Championship
Stoke City vs Swansea
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Championship
Stoke City vs Swansea
3:1
Oct 5, 2024 Championship
Swansea vs Stoke City
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stoke City Compare
Top Goalscorer Pearson B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Thomas S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Swansea Compare
Top Goalscorer Vipotnik Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stoke City 32 / 100
Swansea 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stoke City Swansea
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stoke City scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Stoke City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Swansea has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Stoke City VS Swansea
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Stoke City
(Home) 19 Sept
Stoke City
2 : 1 Sheffield Utd
12 Sept
Watford
1 : 2 Stoke City
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1 Stoke City
05 Sept
Stoke City
4 : 0 Charlton
01 Sept
Stoke City
1 : 0 Norwich
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Stoke City
2 : 1 Sheffield Utd
05 Sept
Stoke City
4 : 0 Charlton
01 Sept
Stoke City
1 : 0 Norwich
25 Aug
Stoke City
1 : 2 Hull City
15 Aug
Stoke City
1 : 2 Swansea
Page 1 of 4
Swansea
(Away) 19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2 Swansea
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1 Burnley
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1 Swansea
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0 Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0 Watford
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2 Swansea
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1 Swansea
29 Aug
Derby
0 : 3 Swansea
15 Aug
Stoke City
1 : 2 Swansea
28 Jul
Merthyr Town
3 : 0 Swansea
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
