Sport Picks
Stomil Olsztyn vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 Stadion OSiR, Olsztyn 
Match Events
28'
28'
Pawlikowski K.
63'
63'
Unno S.
65'
65'
Kanesaka N.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 game between Stomil Olsztyn and Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stomil Olsztyn.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Stomil Olsztyn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Stomil Olsztyn come out ahead of Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Stomil Olsztyn's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Stomil Olsztyn Clean Sheet 20%
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stomil Olsztyn | Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 1 |
| Draws | 7 | 1 |
| Losses | 13 | 28 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 3.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 3.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Stomil Olsztyn vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz vs Stomil Olsztyn
2:0
May 8, 2010 Division 2 - East
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz vs Stomil Olsztyn
1:0
Sep 26, 2009 Division 2 - East
Stomil Olsztyn vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
1:1
Jun 5, 2009 Division 2 - East
Stomil Olsztyn vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stomil Olsztyn Compare
Top Goalscorer Unno S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kanesaka N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Compare
Top Goalscorer Pawlikowski K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stomil Olsztyn 85 / 100
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stomil Olsztyn Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick STO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stomil Olsztyn found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Stomil Olsztyn VS Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Stomil Olsztyn
(Home) 25 Jul
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 1 Stomil Olsztyn
18 Jul
Legia U19
3 : 1 Stomil Olsztyn
07 Jun
Stomil Olsztyn
0 : 4 LKS Lomza
31 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Stomil Olsztyn
28 May
Suwalki
1 : 2 Stomil Olsztyn
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
Stomil Olsztyn
0 : 4 LKS Lomza
24 May
Stomil Olsztyn
2 : 1 Victoria Sulejowek
16 May
Stomil Olsztyn
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
27 Apr
Stomil Olsztyn
1 : 1 Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Apr
Stomil Olsztyn
2 : 1 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
Page 1 of 3
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
(Away) 25 Jul
Warta Sieradz
3 : 0 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
23 Jul
Widzew Lodz
9 : 1 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
07 Jun
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
0 : 3 Warta Sieradz
30 May
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
4 : 2 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
24 May
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
1 : 4 Unia Skierniewice
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Warta Sieradz
3 : 0 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
23 Jul
Widzew Lodz
9 : 1 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
30 May
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
4 : 2 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
21 May
LKS Lomza
3 : 0 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
10 May
Victoria Sulejowek
3 : 1 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unia Skierniewice | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 81:30 | 74 |
| 2 | Legia II | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 75:39 | 70 |
| 3 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 68:38 | 64 |
| 4 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 46:42 | 55 |
| 5 | Suwalki | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 46:38 | 48 |
| 6 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 54:49 | 47 |
| 7 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:58 | 47 |
| 8 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 52:52 | 46 |
| 9 | Bron Radom | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 40:48 | 46 |
| 10 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 57:64 | 46 |
| 11 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 67:62 | 44 |
| 12 | Plock II | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 54:58 | 43 |
| 13 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 39:45 | 42 |
| 14 | Stomil Olsztyn | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:56 | 42 |
| 15 | Victoria Sulejowek | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 52:59 | 41 |
| 16 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 46:60 | 41 |
| 17 | Pelikan | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 34:58 | 33 |
| 18 | Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz | 34 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 26:72 | 12 |
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
