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Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs UKS SMS Lodz W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Dabrowska M.
77'
Sowalska M.
82' Event
Duchnowska M.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 game between Stomilanki Olsztyn W and UKS SMS Lodz W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UKS SMS Lodz W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
6%
Draws
90%
UKS SMS Lodz W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UKS SMS Lodz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • UKS SMS Lodz W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on UKS SMS Lodz W taking it.
  • Regular Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Stomilanki Olsztyn W Clean Sheet 10%
UKS SMS Lodz W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stomilanki Olsztyn W UKS SMS Lodz W
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs UKS SMS Lodz W
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs Stomilanki Olsztyn W
0:1
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs UKS SMS Lodz W
0:0
May 11, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs UKS SMS Lodz W
3:4
Nov 3, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs Stomilanki Olsztyn W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stomilanki Olsztyn W Compare

Top Goalscorer Duchnowska M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

UKS SMS Lodz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dabrowska M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stomilanki Olsztyn W 10 / 100
UKS SMS Lodz W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stomilanki Olsztyn W UKS SMS Lodz W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UKS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stomilanki Olsztyn W scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: UKS SMS Lodz W conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Stomilanki Olsztyn W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stomilanki Olsztyn W VS UKS SMS Lodz W
1 Goals Scored 1.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stomilanki Olsztyn W

(Home)
23 Jul
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
2 : 0
Czworka Radom W
18 Jul
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
0 : 3
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
30 May
UJ Krakow W
4 : 0
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
24 May
Pogon Tczew W
2 : 2
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
10 May
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
1 : 3
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
Page 1 of 7

UKS SMS Lodz W

(Away)
30 May
Czarni Sosnowiec W
3 : 2
UKS SMS Lodz W
23 May
UKS SMS Lodz W
1 : 2
GKS Katowice W
09 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
1 : 1
UKS SMS Lodz W
02 May
UKS SMS Lodz W
1 : 0
UJ Krakow W
25 Apr
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
1 : 2
UKS SMS Lodz W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)