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Stadium Background

Stortford vs Chelmsford

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Onyeagwara O.
13' Event
Browne R.
(Penalty)
65' Event
Cooper C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Chelmsford in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelmsford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Stortford
6%
Draws
90%
Chelmsford
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chelmsford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chelmsford have won more games recently than Stortford.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Chelmsford taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chelmsford have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Stortford Clean Sheet 13%
Chelmsford Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stortford Chelmsford
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Stortford vs Chelmsford
1:3
Jan 1, 2017 National League South
Stortford vs Chelmsford
1:3
Dec 26, 2016 National League South
Chelmsford vs Stortford
4:0
Feb 29, 2016 National League South
Chelmsford vs Stortford
4:1
Aug 18, 2015 National League South
Stortford vs Chelmsford
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stortford Compare

Top Goalscorer Onyeagwara O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Chelmsford Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooper C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stortford 10 / 100
Chelmsford 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stortford Chelmsford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Stortford found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Chelmsford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Stortford went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stortford VS Chelmsford
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%