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Stourbridge vs Stratford

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sherif L.
39' Event
Lafferty D.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Lafferty D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between Stourbridge and Stratford finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stratford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Stourbridge
20%
Draws
40%
Stratford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stratford come out ahead of Stourbridge on wins alone.
  • Stourbridge are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 17%
Stratford Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stourbridge Stratford
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Stratford
0:3
Nov 8, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stratford vs Stourbridge
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stratford vs Stourbridge
0:2
Sep 10, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Stratford
0:2
Mar 30, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Stratford
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stourbridge Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Stratford Compare

Top Goalscorer Sherif L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stourbridge 57 / 100
Stratford 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stourbridge Stratford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stourbridge's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Stratford conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Stourbridge went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stourbridge VS Stratford
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stourbridge

(Home)
01 Aug
Stourbridge
0 : 5
Kidderminster
28 Jul
Halesowen
3 : 3
Stourbridge
25 Apr
Stourbridge
1 : 0
Royston Town
18 Apr
Sudbury
0 : 4
Stourbridge
15 Apr
Stourbridge
0 : 1
Needham Market
Page 1 of 6

Stratford

(Away)
25 Jul
Stratford
0 : 5
Kidderminster
21 Jul
Stratford
1 : 0
Brackley
25 Apr
St Ives Town
0 : 0
Stratford
18 Apr
Stratford
1 : 2
Bromsgrove
11 Apr
Spalding United
1 : 3
Stratford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)