Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Strabane Athletic vs Newry City

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Strabane Athletic
35%
Draws
49%
Newry City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Strabane Athletic at 1.68 per game, Newry City at 1.31.
  • Model gives Newry City a 49% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Strabane Athletic Clean Sheet 10%
Newry City Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strabane Athletic Newry City
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.36 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 NIFL Championship
Strabane Athletic vs Newry City
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strabane Athletic 10 / 100
Newry City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strabane Athletic Newry City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newry City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strabane Athletic found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Newry City let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Strabane Athletic stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Strabane Athletic VS Newry City
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Strabane Athletic

(Home)
18 Sept
Dundela
1 : 1
Strabane Athletic
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Newry City
05 Sept
Queens University
6 : 0
Strabane Athletic
28 Aug
Strabane Athletic
1 : 2
Newington FC
22 Aug
Strabane Athletic
1 : 2
Harland & Wolff
Page 1 of 6

Newry City

(Away)
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1
Annagh
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Newry City
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
29 Aug
Institute
1 : 3
Newry City
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3
Warrenpoint
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newington FC 8 5 2 1 20:11 17
2 Annagh 8 5 2 1 18:12 17
3 Queens University 8 5 1 2 18:6 16
4 Harland & Wolff 8 5 0 3 15:10 15
5 Glenavon 8 4 2 2 18:12 14
6 Ballinamallard 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
7 Institute 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Newry City 8 3 3 2 12:14 12
9 Ards 8 3 2 3 11:11 11
10 Warrenpoint 8 3 1 4 15:14 10
11 Loughgall 8 2 4 2 11:14 10
12 Dundela 8 1 5 2 16:18 8
13 Moyola 8 2 2 4 9:17 8
14 Strabane Athletic 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Armagh 8 0 4 4 8:14 4
16 Rathfriland Rangers 8 1 0 7 6:19 3
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)