Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stranraer vs Darvel FC

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stranraer play Darvel FC in the Scottish Cup 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stranraer averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Darvel FC averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Stranraer won 0, Darvel FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 23, 2021 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Stranraer and 1.19 for Darvel FC. This points to a Darvel FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Stranraer
26%
Draws
41%
Darvel FC
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Darvel FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Stranraer picked up more points recently compared to Darvel FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 20%
Darvel FC Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stranraer Darvel FC
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 11 7
Draws 10 1
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.38 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.79

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2021 Scottish Cup
Stranraer vs Darvel FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stranraer Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Darvel FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Allan J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stranraer 34 / 100
Darvel FC 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stranraer Darvel FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Darvel FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stranraer attacking → ← attacking Darvel FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stranraer scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Darvel FC let in goals in 79% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Stranraer went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Darvel FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 22
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00