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Strathspey Thistle vs Ross County

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Tue, Jul 15, 2025
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Strathspey Thistle play Ross County in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Strathspey Thistle averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. Ross County averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Strathspey Thistle won 0, Ross County won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 15, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Strathspey Thistle and 1.62 for Ross County. This points to a Ross County double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Strathspey Thistle
15%
Draws
46%
Ross County
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ross County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Strathspey Thistle picked up more points recently compared to Ross County.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.62 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Strathspey Thistle Clean Sheet 14%
Ross County Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strathspey Thistle Ross County
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.86 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Strathspey Thistle vs Ross County
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strathspey Thistle 38 / 100
Ross County 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strathspey Thistle Ross County

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ross County or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Strathspey Thistle attacking → ← attacking Ross County

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strathspey Thistle scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Ross County let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Strathspey Thistle went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ross County lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 37
0.71 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.86 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88