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Sua Flamingoes vs Police XI

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sua Flamingoes play Police XI in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sua Flamingoes averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1 conceded. Police XI averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Sua Flamingoes won 3, Police XI won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Sua Flamingoes and 1.06 for Police XI. This points to a Sua Flamingoes double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sua Flamingoes
6%
Draws
4%
Police XI
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sua Flamingoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sua Flamingoes has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Police XI.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sua Flamingoes.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sua Flamingoes Clean Sheet 20%
Police XI Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sua Flamingoes Police XI
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 5 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs Police XI
3:2
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Police XI vs Sua Flamingoes
0:1
Feb 17, 2024 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs Police XI
1:0
Oct 8, 2023 Premier League
Police XI vs Sua Flamingoes
1:1
Apr 15, 2023 Premier League
Police XI vs Sua Flamingoes
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sua Flamingoes 85 / 100
Police XI 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sua Flamingoes Police XI

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sua Flamingoes scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Police XI let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Sua Flamingoes went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Police XI lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sua Flamingoes VS Police XI
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaborone Utd30235262:1574
2Jwaneng Galaxy30178555:2359
3Sua Flamingoes30185744:3059
4Centre Chiefs30168637:1856
5Morupule301451141:3347
6Orapa United301211735:3047
7Township Rollers301361133:3345
8Nico United301012828:2542
9Tafic FC308111127:2635
10Matebele30891329:3733
11Police XI307111217:2932
12BDF XI30791430:4230
13Extension Gunners30781526:4329
14Black Lions30761717:3827
15Santa Green30642023:5822
16Calendar Stars30561919:4321