Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sudtirol U19 vs Spal U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ndongue F.
60' Event
Conte O.
68' Event
Conte O.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2024/2025 game between Sudtirol U19 and Spal U19 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spal U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Sudtirol U19
30%
Draws
8%
Spal U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sudtirol U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sudtirol U19 come out ahead of Spal U19 on wins alone.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Sudtirol U19 taking it.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spal U19 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sudtirol U19 Clean Sheet 17%
Spal U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudtirol U19 Spal U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Primavera 2
Sudtirol U19 vs Spal U19
1:3
Oct 5, 2024 Primavera 2
Spal U19 vs Sudtirol U19
2:0
Apr 20, 2024 Primavera 2
Sudtirol U19 vs Spal U19
2:1
Jan 20, 2024 Primavera 2
Spal U19 vs Sudtirol U19
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sudtirol U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndongue F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Spal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Conte O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cecchinato L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudtirol U19 84 / 100
Spal U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudtirol U19 Spal U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudtirol U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Sudtirol U19's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sudtirol U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Spal U19's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sudtirol U19 VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudtirol U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Reggiana U19
0 : 0
Sudtirol U19
12 Sept
Sudtirol U19
0 : 0
Mantova U19
05 Sept
Vicenza U19
3 : 0
Sudtirol U19
21 Aug
Sudtirol U19
5 : 0
Cosenza U19
09 May
Union Brescia U19
1 : 3
Sudtirol U19
Page 1 of 7

Spal U19

(Away)
10 May
Spal U19
1 : 1
Modena U19
03 May
Entella U19
3 : 1
Spal U19
28 Apr
Spal U19
0 : 1
Parma U19
18 Apr
Spal U19
2 : 3
Cittadella U19
12 Apr
AlbinoLeffe U19
2 : 1
Spal U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parma U19 30 21 6 3 62:23 69
2 Como U19 30 21 6 3 74:21 69
3 Entella U19 30 14 10 6 53:31 52
4 Renate U19 30 15 7 8 35:31 52
5 Vicenza U19 30 14 7 9 56:41 49
6 Modena U19 30 10 8 12 57:49 38
7 Sudtirol U19 30 10 7 13 39:43 37
8 Brescia U19 30 9 9 12 39:41 36
9 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 10 5 15 40:60 35
10 Cittadella U19 30 10 5 15 38:54 35
11 Pro Vercelli U19 30 9 6 15 35:46 33
12 Spal U19 30 7 12 11 29:36 33
13 Venezia U19 30 7 11 12 35:51 32
14 Padova U19 30 8 7 15 28:43 31
15 Reggiana U19 30 7 10 13 32:57 31
16 FeralpiSalo U19 30 6 8 16 28:53 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frosinone U19 30 19 6 5 55:26 63
2 Ascoli U19 30 18 5 7 64:45 59
3 Napoli U19 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
4 Ternana U19 30 16 8 6 57:37 56
5 Pescara U19 30 12 9 9 47:37 45
6 Cosenza U19 30 13 4 13 39:42 43
7 Pisa U19 30 12 7 11 53:42 43
8 Benevento U19 30 12 5 13 44:41 41
9 Palermo U19 30 11 7 12 42:44 40
10 Spezia U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Avellino U19 30 8 7 15 45:65 31
12 Bari U19 30 7 10 13 28:44 31
13 Salernitana U19 30 7 10 13 43:54 31
14 Perugia U19 30 7 9 14 34:54 30
15 Monopoli U19 30 8 4 18 33:56 28
16 Crotone U19 30 7 6 17 45:68 27
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)