Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sudtirol vs Modena

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Rispoli F.
35' Event
Okoro A.
Assist: Molina S.
60'
Sub
Zeroli K. In: Burnete R.
Out: Zeroli K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sudtirol
30%
Draws
39%
Modena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sudtirol at 1.52 per game, Modena at 1.32.
  • Win probability leans Sudtirol's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 20%
Modena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudtirol Modena
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.03 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Modena
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Modena
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie B
Modena vs Sudtirol
0:0
Dec 29, 2024 Serie B
Modena vs Sudtirol
0:0
Aug 17, 2024 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Modena
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sudtirol Compare

Top Goalscorer Okoro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Ambrosino G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudtirol 42 / 100
Modena 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudtirol Modena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sudtirol scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Modena conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Sudtirol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sudtirol VS Modena
2 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudtirol

(Home)
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0
Sudtirol
12 Sept
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Modena
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
30 Aug
Benevento
1 : 1
Sudtirol
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Modena

(Away)
20 Sept
Modena
2 : 1
Empoli
12 Sept
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Modena
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
28 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 3
Modena
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
18 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 3
19 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)