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Sultanbeyli vs 23 Elazig FK Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kilinc G.
33' Event
Dogan H.
46' Event
Kilinc G.

AI Match Summary

Sultanbeyli in this 3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sultanbeyli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sultanbeyli
35%
Draws
22%
23 Elazig FK
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sultanbeyli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Sultanbeyli haven't matched 23 Elazig FK's recent run of results.
  • Sultanbeyli are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Sultanbeyli Clean Sheet 20%
23 Elazig FK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sultanbeyli 23 Elazig FK
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.9 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
23 Elazig FK vs Sultanbeyli
0:0
Dec 2, 2023 3. Lig Group 4
Sultanbeyli vs 23 Elazig FK
2:1
Apr 14, 2019 3. Lig Group 2
23 Elazig FK vs Sultanbeyli
3:1
Nov 24, 2018 3. Lig Group 2
Sultanbeyli vs 23 Elazig FK
1:0
Feb 10, 2018 3. Lig Group 3
Sultanbeyli vs 23 Elazig FK
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sultanbeyli Compare

Top Goalscorer Kilinc G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

23 Elazig FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Dogan H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sultanbeyli 85 / 100
23 Elazig FK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sultanbeyli 23 Elazig FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sultanbeyli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

23 Elazig FK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sultanbeyli stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sultanbeyli found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS 23 Elazig FK
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sultanbeyli

(Home)
27 Apr
Alanya 1221
1 : 1
Sultanbeyli
21 Apr
Sultanbeyli
0 : 1
Musspor
14 Apr
23 Elazig FK
0 : 0
Sultanbeyli
07 Apr
Sultanbeyli
1 : 0
Nevsehir
03 Apr
Catalca Spor
0 : 0
Sultanbeyli
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23 Elazig FK

(Away)
26 Apr
23 Elazig FK
1 : 1
Kusadasispor
20 Apr
Bulvarspor
0 : 0
23 Elazig FK
13 Apr
23 Elazig FK
0 : 0
Kirsehir SK
06 Apr
Bursaspor
3 : 1
23 Elazig FK
02 Apr
Ergene Velimese
2 : 1
23 Elazig FK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adana 01 28 20 3 5 60:27 63
2 Sebat Spor Kulubu 28 15 5 8 42:27 50
3 Musspor 28 12 11 5 41:29 47
4 Tokat Bld Plevnespor 28 12 9 7 32:27 45
5 Alanya 1221 28 11 10 7 42:33 43
6 Bursa Yildirimspor 28 11 9 8 39:34 42
7 Orduspor 1967 28 11 8 9 49:33 41
8 Balikesirspor 28 7 12 9 28:32 33
9 Izmir Coruhlu 28 8 7 13 34:39 31
10 Cankaya FK 28 6 13 9 26:37 31
11 23 Elazig FK 28 8 7 13 25:42 31
12 Nevsehir 28 8 6 14 19:31 30
13 Siirt Ozel 28 7 8 13 21:32 29
14 Catalca Spor 28 5 11 12 27:38 26
15 Sultanbeyli 28 6 7 15 26:50 25
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)