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Sultanbeyli vs Bursa Yildirimspor Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Keklik M. P.
65' Event
Senturk E.
76' Event
Bayirkan C.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024 game between Sultanbeyli and Bursa Yildirimspor finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sultanbeyli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sultanbeyli
35%
Draws
42%
Bursa Yildirimspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bursa Yildirimspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sultanbeyli haven't matched Bursa Yildirimspor's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sultanbeyli taking it.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sultanbeyli Clean Sheet 18%
Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sultanbeyli Bursa Yildirimspor
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 12
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.77 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Sultanbeyli vs Bursa Yildirimspor
3:0
Nov 11, 2023 3. Lig Group 4
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Sultanbeyli
1:0
Mar 21, 2021 3. Lig Group 4
Sultanbeyli vs Bursa Yildirimspor
1:0
Nov 18, 2020 3. Lig Group 4
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Sultanbeyli
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sultanbeyli Compare

Top Goalscorer Keklik M. P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Senturk E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Bursa Yildirimspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sultanbeyli 41 / 100
Bursa Yildirimspor 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sultanbeyli Bursa Yildirimspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Sultanbeyli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sultanbeyli scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Bursa Yildirimspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bursa Yildirimspor
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sultanbeyli

(Home)
27 Apr
Alanya 1221
1 : 1
Sultanbeyli
21 Apr
Sultanbeyli
0 : 1
Musspor
14 Apr
23 Elazig FK
0 : 0
Sultanbeyli
07 Apr
Sultanbeyli
1 : 0
Nevsehir
03 Apr
Catalca Spor
0 : 0
Sultanbeyli
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Bursa Yildirimspor

(Away)
03 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2
Karsiyaka
13 Sept
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Bursa Yildirimspor
05 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0
Soke 1970
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adana 01 28 20 3 5 60:27 63
2 Sebat Spor Kulubu 28 15 5 8 42:27 50
3 Musspor 28 12 11 5 41:29 47
4 Tokat Bld Plevnespor 28 12 9 7 32:27 45
5 Alanya 1221 28 11 10 7 42:33 43
6 Bursa Yildirimspor 28 11 9 8 39:34 42
7 Orduspor 1967 28 11 8 9 49:33 41
8 Balikesirspor 28 7 12 9 28:32 33
9 Izmir Coruhlu 28 8 7 13 34:39 31
10 Cankaya FK 28 6 13 9 26:37 31
11 23 Elazig FK 28 8 7 13 25:42 31
12 Nevsehir 28 8 6 14 19:31 30
13 Siirt Ozel 28 7 8 13 21:32 29
14 Catalca Spor 28 5 11 12 27:38 26
15 Sultanbeyli 28 6 7 15 26:50 25
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)