Sport Picks
SumQayit FK vs Neftci Baku
Azerbaijan
Premier League Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
SumQayit FK host Neftci Baku in the Premier League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: SumQayit FK at 1.5 goals for, 1.75 against; Neftci Baku at 2.13 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, SumQayit FK have won 0 to Neftci Baku's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.94, favoring Neftci Baku. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Neftci Baku has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to SumQayit FK.
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SumQayit FK | Neftci Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SumQayit FK Compare
Neftci Baku Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SumQayit FK scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Neftci Baku let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
SumQayit FK went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Neftci Baku lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 33 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 75:25 | 78 |
| 2 | Qarabag Agdam | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 71:27 | 69 |
| 3 | Turan | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 44:27 | 59 |
| 4 | Neftci Baku | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 57:32 | 59 |
| 5 | Zira FK | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 43:36 | 53 |
| 6 | Araz PFK | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 44:58 | 46 |
| 7 | SumQayit FK | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 45:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 31:40 | 38 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 23:43 | 34 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 33 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 25:61 | 27 |
| 11 | Gabala | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 32:49 | 27 |
| 12 | Karvan | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 23:66 | 15 |