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Sun Hei vs Tai Po

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Senior Shield 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Sun Hei advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sun Hei
15%
Draws
57%
Tai Po
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tai Po

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Tai Po carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sun Hei's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Tai Po arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sun Hei, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sun Hei have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sun Hei Clean Sheet 15%
Tai Po Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sun Hei Tai Po
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 9 23
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.4 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2012 Premier League
Sun Hei vs Tai Po
2:1
Nov 27, 2011 Senior Shield
Sun Hei vs Tai Po
2:1
Nov 19, 2011 Premier League
Tai Po vs Sun Hei
0:1
Oct 30, 2011 Senior Shield
Tai Po vs Sun Hei
1:2
Oct 30, 2011 Club Friendly
Tai Po vs Sun Hei
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sun Hei 84 / 100
Tai Po 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sun Hei Tai Po

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sun Hei Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sun Hei scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Tai Po conceded in 79% of 38 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Tai Po's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tai Po
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sun Hei

(Home)
12 Apr
Sun Hei
0 : 1
Eastern AA
07 Dec
Southern District
2 : 1
Sun Hei
02 Nov
Sun Hei
2 : 1
Tuen Mun
01 May
Yangon United
2 : 0
Sun Hei
24 Apr
Sun Hei
0 : 3
New Radiant
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Tai Po

(Away)
17 Sept
Adelaide Utd
3 : 0
Tai Po
12 Sept
Tai Po
1 : 2
Hong Kong FC
05 Sept
Tai Po
3 : 2
Hong Kong Rangers
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
23 Aug
North District
2 : 0
Tai Po
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tuen Mun 3
King Fung Football Club 0
TBD -
Citizen -
Tai Po -
TBD -
TBD -
Sun Hei -
Pegasus 2
Kitchee 1
TBD -
Hong Kong Rangers -
Sham Shui Po -
TBD -
TBD -
South China -
Quarter-finals
Tuen Mun 4
Citizen 3
Tai Po 2
Sun Hei 4
Pegasus 9
Hong Kong Rangers 0
Sham Shui Po 2
South China 3
Semi-finals
Tuen Mun 2
Sun Hei 3
Pegasus 2
South China 3
Final
Sun Hei 2
South China 1