Sport Picks
Sunderland vs Nottingham
England
Premier League 2025/2026 Stadium of Light, Sunderland 
Match Events
17'
17'
Hume T.
Own Goal
31'
31'
Wood Ch.
Assist: Gibbs-White M.
34'
34'
Gibbs-White M.
Assist: Igor Jesus
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Sunderland and Nottingham finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nottingham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sunderland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sunderland have managed 1.63 goals a game lately — Nottingham are scoring more at 1.88.
- Win probability leans Sunderland's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 12%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sunderland | Nottingham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 24, 2026 Premier League
Sunderland vs Nottingham
0:5
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League
Nottingham vs Sunderland
0:1
Jul 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Nottingham vs Sunderland
1:1
Dec 30, 2017 Championship
Nottingham vs Sunderland
0:1
Sep 12, 2017 Championship
Sunderland vs Nottingham
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sunderland Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Nottingham Compare
Top Goalscorer Wood Ch.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gibbs-White M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sunderland 40 / 100
Nottingham 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sunderland Nottingham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sunderland found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Nottingham has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Sunderland went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sunderland VS Nottingham
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sunderland
(Home) 25 Jul
Liverpool
4 : 2 Sunderland
18 Jul
York City
1 : 5 Sunderland
24 May
Sunderland
2 : 1 Chelsea
17 May
Everton
1 : 3 Sunderland
09 May
Sunderland
0 : 0 Manchester United
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Sunderland
2 : 1 Chelsea
09 May
Sunderland
0 : 0 Manchester United
24 Apr
Sunderland
0 : 5 Nottingham
12 Apr
Sunderland
1 : 0 Tottenham
14 Mar
Sunderland
0 : 1 Brighton
Page 1 of 3
Nottingham
(Away) 26 Jul
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1 Nottingham
22 Jul
Nottingham
3 : 0 Blackburn
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2 Nottingham
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Bournemouth
17 May
Manchester United
3 : 2 Nottingham
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1 Nottingham
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2 Nottingham
17 May
Manchester United
3 : 2 Nottingham
07 May
Aston Villa
4 : 0 Nottingham
04 May
Chelsea
1 : 3 Nottingham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
