Sport Picks

England

Women's League Cup 2025/2026 Eppleton Colliery Welfare Ground, Sunderland

Sunderland W

Sun, Nov 23, 2025

2 - 1

02:00 PM

Durham W

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Ayre G.

41'

Robson S.

45'

Sub

Robson S. In: Wilson S.

Out: Robson S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Sunderland W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Sunderland W

15%

Draws

26%

Durham W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sunderland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Sunderland W carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Sunderland W's way, sitting at 90%.
Sunderland W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Sunderland W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Sunderland W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%

Sunderland W Clean Sheet 20%

Durham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sunderland W	Durham W
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	9	4
Draws	7	7
Losses	14	17
Goals Scored	1.27	1.14
Goals Conceded	1.6	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.94	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 WSL 2

Durham W vs Sunderland W

2:3

Nov 23, 2025 Women's League Cup

Sunderland W vs Durham W

2:1

Sep 19, 2025 WSL 2

Sunderland W vs Durham W

2:1

Mar 2, 2025 WSL 2

Sunderland W vs Durham W

2:0

Dec 11, 2024 Women's League Cup

Sunderland W vs Durham W

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunderland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Scarr E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.49

Avg xA / game 0.97

Durham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hepple B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland W 85 / 100

Durham W 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sunderland W Durham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunderland W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Durham W conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sunderland W's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sunderland W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland W VS Durham W

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

1 Goals Conceded 2.63

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 88%

13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland W

(Home)

20 Sept

Sunderland W

0 : 0

Southampton FC W

13 Sept

Burnley W

1 : 2

Sunderland W

06 Sept

Sunderland W

4 : 1

Bristol City W

02 May

Ipswich W

2 : 1

Sunderland W

26 Apr

Sunderland W

1 : 2

Crystal Palace W

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Durham W

(Away)

20 Sept

Durham W

1 : 2

Nottingham W

13 Sept

Leicester W

4 : 2

Durham W

06 Sept

Durham W

1 : 3

Southampton FC W

30 Aug

Liverpool W

7 : 1

Durham W

02 May

Newcastle Utd W

0 : 1

Durham W

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