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Suphanburi FC vs Mahasarakham

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

Suphanburi FC play Mahasarakham in the Thai League 2 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Suphanburi FC averaged 1.41 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. Mahasarakham averaged 1.49 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Suphanburi FC won 1, Mahasarakham won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 6, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Suphanburi FC and 1.49 for Mahasarakham. This points to a Mahasarakham double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Suphanburi FC
22%
Draws
48%
Mahasarakham
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mahasarakham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Suphanburi FC picked up more points recently compared to Mahasarakham.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Suphanburi FC Clean Sheet 16%
Mahasarakham Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suphanburi FC Mahasarakham
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 6 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.41 1.49
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.34

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Thai League 2
Suphanburi FC vs Mahasarakham
0:2
Dec 14, 2024 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Suphanburi FC
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suphanburi FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Mahasarakham Compare

Top Goalscorer Suankaeo N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Capistrano J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suphanburi FC 30 / 100
Mahasarakham 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suphanburi FC Mahasarakham

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mahasarakham or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Suphanburi FC attacking → ← attacking Mahasarakham

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suphanburi FC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Mahasarakham let in goals in 66% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Suphanburi FC went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Mahasarakham lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 50
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Chonburi32196756:3063
2Ayutthaya United32179657:3060
3Phrae United32177861:3858
4Kanchanaburi321313653:3652
5Mahasarakham321391044:3948
6Lampang F.C.321391048:3948
7Kasetsart321112936:3745
8Bangkok FC321361342:5045
9Nakhon Si United321351451:5244
10Sisaket United3210111129:3941
11Chiangmai United3210101241:4840
12Police Tero321171439:4840
13Chanthaburi321081437:4838
14Chainat Hornbill328111332:3435
15Trat FC32961736:4933
16Pattaya United32881632:4732
17Suphanburi FC32572042:7222
18Samut Prakan City00000:00