Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sur-Car vs Mariscal Sucre

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sur-Car in this Nacional B 2022 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Sur-Car
35%
Draws
49%
Mariscal Sucre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mariscal Sucre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Medium Confidence
  • Sur-Car have won more games recently than Mariscal Sucre.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Sur-Car have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sur-Car, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Sur-Car Clean Sheet 20%
Mariscal Sucre Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sur-Car Mariscal Sucre
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2022 Copa Simon Bolivar
Sur-Car vs Mariscal Sucre
4:0
Oct 6, 2022 Copa Simon Bolivar
Mariscal Sucre vs Sur-Car
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sur-Car 32 / 100
Mariscal Sucre 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sur-Car Mariscal Sucre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mariscal Sucre has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Sur-Car's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sur-Car stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sur-Car VS Mariscal Sucre
2 Goals Scored 1.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Sur-Car

(Home)
28 Oct
Municipal de Tarija
7 : 3
Sur-Car
22 Oct
Sur-Car
1 : 4
Fatic
08 Oct
Sur-Car
1 : 1
Municipal de Tarija
01 Oct
Fatic
2 : 0
Sur-Car
08 Jul
GV San Jose
1 : 1
Sur-Car
Page 1 of 6

Mariscal Sucre

(Away)
09 Oct
Sur-Car
4 : 0
Mariscal Sucre
06 Oct
Mariscal Sucre
2 : 2
Sur-Car
25 Sept
24 de Septiembre
2 : 2
Mariscal Sucre
17 Sept
Mariscal Sucre
3 : 1
Wilstermann Cooperativas
03 Sept
Mariscal Sucre
1 : 1
24 de Septiembre
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Atletico Bermejo 0
Vaca Diez 6
Real Oruro 1
Fatic 3
Cerveceria 2
Deportivo Juva 4
Nueva Cliza 1
Destroyers 2
24 de Septiembre 3
Garcia Agreda 2
Sur-Car 6
Mariscal Sucre 2
Libertad Gran Mamore 6
Academia del Balompie 2
Enrique Happ 3
Stormers SC 2
Quarter-finals
Vaca Diez 4
Fatic 3
Deportivo Juva 1
Destroyers 2
24 de Septiembre 4
Sur-Car 3
Libertad Gran Mamore 4
Enrique Happ 0
Semi-finals
Vaca Diez 4
Destroyers 3
24 de Septiembre 6
Libertad Gran Mamore 8
Final
Vaca Diez 3
Libertad Gran Mamore 2