Sport Picks

Australia

NPL NSW Seymour Shaw Park

Sutherland Sharks

3 - 2

APIA Leichhardt

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Nicolaou Y.

51'

Ortiz P.

60'

Bonilla D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sutherland Sharks in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sutherland Sharks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Sutherland Sharks

17%

Draws

13%

APIA Leichhardt

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sutherland Sharks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

APIA Leichhardt have won more games recently than Sutherland Sharks.
Sutherland Sharks are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and APIA Leichhardt have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Sutherland Sharks Clean Sheet 19%

APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sutherland Sharks	APIA Leichhardt
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	22
Draws	2	3
Losses	14	5
Goals Scored	1.63	1.63
Goals Conceded	0.88	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL NSW

Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Mar 21, 2026 NPL NSW

APIA Leichhardt vs Sutherland Sharks

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Aug 17, 2025 NPL NSW

APIA Leichhardt vs Sutherland Sharks

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

5:0

May 3, 2025 NPL NSW

Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Jul 7, 2024 NPL NSW

APIA Leichhardt vs Sutherland Sharks

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutherland Sharks Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolaou Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bonilla D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

APIA Leichhardt Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz P.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutherland Sharks 67 / 100

APIA Leichhardt 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sutherland Sharks APIA Leichhardt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sutherland Sharks scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

APIA Leichhardt let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Sutherland Sharks has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sutherland Sharks VS APIA Leichhardt

1.63 Goals Scored 1.63

0.88 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marconi Stallions	23	17	4	2	45:14	55
2	APIA Leichhardt	23	16	3	4	47:27	51
3	Sydney Utd	23	15	3	5	34:17	48
4	Rockdale Ilinden	23	11	3	9	36:32	36
5	Sutherland Sharks	23	11	2	10	36:30	35
6	Sydney FC U23	23	10	4	9	32:34	34
7	Wollongong	23	9	5	9	26:29	32
8	NWS Spirit	23	9	4	10	27:27	31
9	Manly Utd	23	8	6	9	25:29	30
10	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	23	8	5	10	42:34	29
11	UNSW	23	8	4	11	32:35	28
12	SD Raiders	23	7	5	11	30:39	26
13	St. George City	23	6	7	10	22:37	25
14	Blacktown City	23	5	7	11	30:39	22
15	St George Saints	23	6	1	16	22:39	19
16	Sydney Olympic	23	5	3	15	25:49	18