Sport Picks
Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt
Australia
NPL NSW Seymour Shaw Park, Sutherland 
Match Events
45'
45'
Nicolaou Y.
51'
51'
Ortiz P.
60'
60'
Bonilla D.
AI Match Summary
Sutherland Sharks in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sutherland Sharks.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: APIA Leichhardt
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- APIA Leichhardt have won more games recently than Sutherland Sharks.
- APIA Leichhardt are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and APIA Leichhardt have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Sutherland Sharks Clean Sheet 11%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sutherland Sharks | APIA Leichhardt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 23 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 4, 2026 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt
3:2
Mar 21, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Sutherland Sharks
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Sutherland Sharks
5:0
May 3, 2025 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt
0:2
Jul 7, 2024 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Sutherland Sharks
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sutherland Sharks Compare
Top Goalscorer Nicolaou Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bonilla D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
APIA Leichhardt Compare
Top Goalscorer Ortiz P.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sutherland Sharks 27 / 100
APIA Leichhardt 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sutherland Sharks APIA Leichhardt
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick APIA Leichhardt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sutherland Sharks scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
APIA Leichhardt let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.
Sutherland Sharks has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sutherland Sharks VS APIA Leichhardt
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sutherland Sharks
(Home) 02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 SD Raiders
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 St. George City
16 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0 Sutherland Sharks
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1 Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 SD Raiders
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 St. George City
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1 Sydney FC U23
01 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 Wollongong
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APIA Leichhardt
(Away) 13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3 Sydney Utd
06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0 NWS Spirit
30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2 St. George City
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0 APIA Leichhardt
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1 Melbourne Victory
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23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0 APIA Leichhardt
08 Aug
St George Saints
0 : 0 APIA Leichhardt
02 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 3 APIA Leichhardt
18 Jul
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 5 APIA Leichhardt
04 Jul
Sutherland Sharks
3 : 2 APIA Leichhardt
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
