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Sutherland Sharks vs NWS Spirit

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Seymour Shaw Park, Sutherland
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Shoueiki R.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between Sutherland Sharks and NWS Spirit finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sutherland Sharks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sutherland Sharks
20%
Draws
57%
NWS Spirit
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: NWS Spirit

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sutherland Sharks carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on NWS Spirit taking it.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sutherland Sharks Clean Sheet 16%
NWS Spirit Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutherland Sharks NWS Spirit
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs NWS Spirit
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Sutherland Sharks
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs NWS Spirit
1:3
Mar 29, 2025 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Sutherland Sharks
1:1
Jun 25, 2024 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Sutherland Sharks
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutherland Sharks Compare

Top Goalscorer Shoueiki R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

NWS Spirit Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutherland Sharks 19 / 100
NWS Spirit 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutherland Sharks NWS Spirit

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NWS Spirit Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutherland Sharks's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

NWS Spirit let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Sutherland Sharks stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sutherland Sharks VS NWS Spirit
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutherland Sharks

(Home)
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1
St. George City
16 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0
Sutherland Sharks
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1
Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6

NWS Spirit

(Away)
06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0
NWS Spirit
02 Sept
Marconi Stallions
1 : 3
NWS Spirit
30 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 1
NWS Spirit
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0
SD Raiders
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4
NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)