Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty

Europe Europe

Champions League Stadion Gradski, Nikšić
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Simun M.
29'
Golubovic A.
46'
Sub
Anicic P. In: Campbell K.
Out: Anicic P.

AI Match Summary

Kairat Almaty in this Champions League tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sutjeska
6%
Draws
90%
Kairat Almaty
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty have won more games recently than Sutjeska.
  • Win probability leans Kairat Almaty's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Kairat Almaty arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kairat Almaty, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sutjeska Clean Sheet 10%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutjeska Kairat Almaty
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 0.38 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Champions League
Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty
0:2
Jul 8, 2026 Champions League
Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutjeska Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Kairat Almaty Compare

Top Goalscorer Bekbolat I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutjeska 10 / 100
Kairat Almaty 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutjeska Kairat Almaty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutjeska found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Kairat Almaty conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Away concern: Kairat Almaty has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sutjeska VS Kairat Almaty
0.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutjeska

(Home)
23 Jul
ML Vitebsk
3 : 0
Sutjeska
15 Jul
Sutjeska
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty
08 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1
Sutjeska
01 Jul
Sutjeska
1 : 2
FK Sarajevo
24 Jun
Mornar Bar
1 : 0
Sutjeska
Page 1 of 6

Kairat Almaty

(Away)
26 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1
Ordabasy
22 Jul
Omonia
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
18 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 3
Kairat Almaty
15 Jul
Sutjeska
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty
08 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1
Sutjeska
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Thun-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Klaksvik4
Bissen2
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Drita3
Mjallby-
TBD-
Lincoln Red Imps4
Inter Escaldes2
Flora4
Iberia 19995
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia5
ML Vitebsk1
Univ. Craiova5
Omonia-
TBD-
Kairat Almaty4
Sutjeska1
Aarhus-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Sabah Baku4
TNS1
Vardar3
KuPS4
Ararat-Armenia4
Riga FC3
Floriana3
Shamrock Rovers5
Petrocub Hincesti2
KF Egnatia7
TBD-
Celje-
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Gyor2
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Tre Fiori1
Larne3
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Thun1
Din. Zagreb1
Klaksvik0
FK Kauno Zalgiris0
Mjallby3
Lincoln Red Imps0
Iberia 19990
Slovan Bratislava2
Levski Sofia1
Univ. Craiova0
Omonia1
Kairat Almaty0
Aarhus1
Lech Poznan4
Sabah Baku1
KuPS0
Ararat-Armenia2
Shamrock Rovers0
KF Egnatia3
Celje3
Vikingur Reykjavik2
H. Beer Sheva1
Larne0
Crvena zvezda4
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce1
Gornik Zabrze0
Sturm Graz4
Hearts0
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
Bodo/Glimt-
TBD-
TBD-
Sparta Prague-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-